Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

Green shoots? Unemployment jumps 0.4% to 10.2%

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • Green shoots? Unemployment jumps 0.4% to 10.2%

    Still on track for 11% by end of 2009...

    http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Unempl...n&asset=&ccode=

    The government reported Friday that unemployment rate spiked to 10.2%, up from 9.8% in September. It is the highest that this rate has been since April 1983. Economists had forecast an increase to 9.9%.
    There was also a net loss of 190,000 jobs in October, according to the Labor Department, an improvement from a revised estimate of 219,000 job losses in September. However, economists surveyed by Briefing.com had forecast a loss of only 175,000 jobs in October. This was the 22nd straight month of job losses.
    Government efforts to end job losses have had limited effects, although the Obama administration estimated last month that 640,000 jobs were created or saved by the federal stimulus package passed earlier this year. But that's modest compared to the 7.3 million jobs that have been lost by the economy since the start of 2008.
    Friday's report comes one day after Congress voted overwhelmingly to extend unemployment benefits by up to 20 weeks. There are now a record 5.6 million people who have been unemployed for six months or longer, as the average time an unemployed person has been out of a job hit 26.9 weeks.
    Prior to this report, most economists had believed that the unemployment rate would keep rising and that job losses would continue into next year. But the jump in unemployment in October took it to levels worse than what many previously had expected to be the peak.
    According to a survey of top forecasters by the National Association of Business Economics last month, the consensus estimate among economists was that unemployment would hit a high of 10% in the final three months of this year and the first quarter of 2010.
    The five economists with the most bearish forecasts had expected unemployment to rise to 10.2% in the fourth quarter of this year before hitting 10.5% in the first half of next year.

  • #2
    Re: Green shoots? Unemployment jumps 0.4% to 10.2%

    Originally posted by c1ue View Post
    Still on track for 11% by end of 2009...

    http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Unempl...&asset=&ccode=
    Stock market will end up today.

    Higher unemployement translates to more people having time to go shopping.

    Starbucks should be up ten percent today on this theory alone.

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Green shoots? Unemployment jumps 0.4% to 10.2%

      I keep expecting Rod Serling to do an introduction to my life in the Twilight Zone any day now, but it never happens. Maybe tomorrow.
      Last edited by BadJuju; November 06, 2009, 10:11 AM.

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Green shoots? Unemployment jumps 0.4% to 10.2%

        http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/f...ince-1983.html

        Hey Pat Benatar was in charts back then
        Cool
        Mike

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: Green shoots? Unemployment jumps 0.4% to 10.2%

          Originally posted by Quincy K View Post
          Stock market will end up today.

          Higher unemployement translates to more people having time to go shopping.

          Starbucks should be up ten percent today on this theory alone.

          I wouldn't be surprised. High unemployment means more cheap money, yippee.

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: Green shoots? Unemployment jumps 0.4% to 10.2%

            Originally posted by c1ue View Post
            Still on track for 11% by end of 2009...

            http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Unempl...&asset=&ccode=
            From the econompicdata blog [which has a few more pretty lousy looking charts on the same topic]:


            Comment


            • #7
              Re: Green shoots? Unemployment jumps 0.4% to 10.2%

              Another scary employment graph - From Calculated Risk

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: Green shoots? Unemployment jumps 0.4% to 10.2%

                Originally posted by ViC78 View Post
                Another scary employment graph - From Calculated Risk
                Click on this version of that graph to get the full size graph:

                .
                Most folks are good; a few aren't.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: Green shoots? Unemployment jumps 0.4% to 10.2%

                  Thanks TPC!

                  How did you do that?

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: Green shoots? Unemployment jumps 0.4% to 10.2%

                    When do we start using the term sudden stop? Isn't it time to coin a new word? Aren't we now just talking about the goverconomy? Does anybody have a chart on non government sponsored economic activity?

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: Green shoots? Unemployment jumps 0.4% to 10.2%

                      Originally posted by ViC78 View Post
                      Thanks TPC!

                      How did you do that?
                      If you right click (at least in Firefox, I don't know what it looks like in Internet Explorer) on that Calculated Risk graphic, you will see links for both the fuzzy image that's embedded in the blog, and the link to the detailed image. Embed the fuzzy image link (using the 'img' html code) inside an HTML hyperlink (using the 'a' html code) to the detailed image, as follows:
                      <a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_pMscxxELHEg/SvRMOYXkHeI/AAAAAAAAGvk/oz9xlZsHxiU/s1600-h/UnemployedOver26WeeksOct.jpg">
                      <img src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_pMscxxELHEg/SvRMOYXkHeI/AAAAAAAAGvk/oz9xlZsHxiU/s320/UnemployedOver26WeeksOct.jpg">
                      </a>
                      Most folks are good; a few aren't.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: Green shoots? Unemployment jumps 0.4% to 10.2%

                        Originally posted by sunskyfan View Post
                        Does anybody have a chart on non government sponsored economic activity?
                        No -- but you can make one easily enough. Take a ruler, hold it horizontal on a piece of paper, and draw a flat line :rolleyes:.
                        Most folks are good; a few aren't.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: Green shoots? Unemployment jumps 0.4% to 10.2%

                          15,700,000 human beings scared, frightened, feeling alone and unwanted with bills to pay, rent or loan payments to make, food, fuel, food, clothing, children, school fees, haircuts,doctors bills. wanting to work so they can be useful in a society that has abandoned them in a secular consumer society. It is an unmitigated disaster of epic proportions.
                          Add to that the 14,000,000 'ghost' Americans would have faded into the background scenery hiding in abandoned houses or in parks or under bridges or in the back yards of Aunt Joans place in a tent or camper and you have a NATION the size of Malaysia or Canada with Time, Fear and Anger brewing.

                          It is your new Pearl Harbor - awaken from your sofas and raise Hell

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Re: Green shoots? Unemployment jumps 0.4% to 10.2%

                            And when you think you still have a job...

                            (The robot works for the Oligarchs)

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Re: Green shoots? Unemployment jumps 0.4% to 10.2%

                              Originally posted by thunderdownunder View Post
                              15,700,000 human beings scared, frightened, feeling alone and unwanted with bills to pay, rent or loan payments to make, food, fuel, food, clothing, children, school fees, haircuts,doctors bills. wanting to work so they can be useful in a society that has abandoned them in a secular consumer society. It is an unmitigated disaster of epic proportions.
                              Add to that the 14,000,000 'ghost' Americans would have faded into the background scenery hiding in abandoned houses or in parks or under bridges or in the back yards of Aunt Joans place in a tent or camper and you have a NATION the size of Malaysia or Canada with Time, Fear and Anger brewing.

                              It is your new Pearl Harbor - awaken from your sofas and raise Hell
                              Don't be so critical and alarmist - our leaders know what we need.


                              Attached Files

                              Comment

                              Working...
                              X