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How Cash For Clunkers Creates Deflation

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  • How Cash For Clunkers Creates Deflation

    ... but only in the strange world of govt. accounting:

    It seems the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, in the CPI next week, will treat the subsidy received by those 800,000 car buyers who bought a car in the “Cash for Clunkers” program as if the price of a car fell by $4,500. Really? My tax dollars account for nothing?

    This does several things. It will decrease the inflation used to adjust the GDP for this quarter. Not the end of the world, but annoying. But what really matters is that the CPI is used to calculate Social Security increases and interest paid on TIPS.

    If I tried to defraud one of my clients using such accounting legerdemain, I would be shut down, sued, and taken to court (at the minimum) by the host of regulators who look over my shoulder. And I should be! You don’t make such changes in the rules to your own benefit. But that is what the BLS did. This policy should be overruled immediately. There are enough deflationary forces in the world without having to artificially create some more. OK, off the soapbox and onto the banking system.
    Lovely.


    http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/09/the-hole-in-fdic/

  • #2
    Re: How Cash For Clunkers Creates Deflation

    I bet they are not going to to the same thing with the $8000 1st time home buyer tax credit. Of course the way home ownership is handled in CPI it probably does not matter.
    jim

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    • #3
      Re: How Cash For Clunkers Creates Deflation

      Originally posted by jiimbergin View Post
      I bet they are not going to to the same thing with the $8000 1st time home buyer tax credit. Of course the way home ownership is handled in CPI it probably does not matter.
      jim
      Appraisal rules state that all sale discounts must be counted in the final selling price of the home, e.g. carpet allowance, etc. That means every house sale that qualified for the $8,000 tax credit was a $8,000 fed cram down on that new comp. Odds of this being upheld in the new listings? :rolleyes:

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