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Setting Up...for the Next Stimulus Package...

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  • Setting Up...for the Next Stimulus Package...

    Watching its flagging poll ratings, the Obama Administration is going on the offensive.

    Wall Street continues to live in a dream world disconnected from reality, and now even the Administration appears to realize that. The Goldman gloating can't have been received any better in the Oval Office than it was on Main Street. They know that the "Too Big To Fail" argument no longer plays favourably with the increasingly unemployed voting masses.
    So the play book includes:
    • Blame the bailed out banks for not "doing enough" to help J6P stay in a home he couldn't afford in the first place;
    • Play up the effort to overhaul financial regulation as an "Us vs. Them" affair...with "Us" defending the interests of the little guy;
    • Avoid any comment or support for the pre-selected "sacrificial lambs" whose heads will roll if the crisis deepens going into the mid-term campaign [Bernanke seems to head that list];
    • Continue the fiction that StimPAC One just needs "more time" and the beneficial results will soon become evident to one and all;
    • Hedge your bets by downplaying future economic growth expectations;
    • Set the stage for more government "management" of the economy and coming soon to a neighbourhood near you...StimPAC Two...:p


    Summers Urges Banks to Lend More, Says Recovery Pace ‘in Doubt’

    July 21 (Bloomberg) -- White House National Economic Council Director Lawrence Summers chastised some banks that received government aid for not doing enough to reduce foreclosures, while declaring that next year’s economic growth pace is “in doubt.”

    “Prudent financial institutions will recognize that the profits they’re enjoying are in part a reflection of the commitment government and the broader society have made to the financial system that has enabled them to enjoy those profits,” Summers said in an interview with Bloomberg News yesterday in Washington...

    ...“The pace of growth next year, I think, is very much in doubt and difficult to predict,” Summers said. That “will depend crucially on our effectiveness in implementing the programs that have been legislated” and what Congress may do on health care, financial regulation and energy, he said...
    Not to be outdone..."Too Big To Fail" fights back...

    [Coming on the heels of Goldman's gloating, can you imagine anything that could make the Adminstration squirm more than this? "...the most credible voice of a discredited industry... speaks volumes, doesn't it]
    In Washington, One Bank’s Chief Still Holds Sway

    July 20, 2009, 5:13 am

    With the larger financial industry in disgrace, Jamie Dimon, the head of JPMorgan Chase, has emerged as President Obama’s favorite banker, and in turn, the envy of his Wall Street rivals, The New York Times’s Jackie Calmes and Louise Story write.

    Mr. Dimon, who will hold a meeting of his board in Washington for the first time on Monday, has labeled government relations his company’s “seventh line of business.”

    The business of better influencing Washington, begun in late 2007, was jump-started just as the financial crisis hit and the capital displaced New York as the nation’s money center. Then Mr. Obama’s election brought to power Chicago Democrats well-known to Mr. Dimon from his years running a bank there.

    One of them is the White House chief of staff, Rahm Emanuel, who had accepted an invitation to speak to the board Monday pending a review by the White House counsel. Mr. Emanuel on Sunday decided to decline to address the board, in order to avoid the appearance of a conflict of interest...

    ...Mr. Dimon and his company enjoy a prominence in the city’s K Street lobbying world that parallels their recent rise on Wall Street; JPMorgan went into the crisis stronger than most rivals and reported robust quarterly gains last week that confirmed its place at the top of the heap.

    With the crisis, Mr. Dimon, a longtime Democratic donor, has become even more politically engaged, in the process becoming perhaps the most credible voice of a discredited industry...

    ...In recent months, he has met with officials including Mr. Geithner; the White House economic adviser, Lawrence H. Summers; and lawmakers of both parties. He phones or e-mails Mr. Emanuel at whim. Each week, his staff gives him the names of a half-dozen public officials to call...

    ...Mr. Dimon and Mr. Geithner know each other well from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, where Mr. Geithner was president and, as such, a JPMorgan regulator. Mr. Dimon sits on the New York Fed’s board...
    And how did the Administration respond? Well here's the Big Guy, with his usual restrained and diplomatic response...;)
    Obama sees regulatory reform battle in Congress

    Tue Jul 21, 2009 8:07am EDT

    ...When the banking industry opposes financial regulation after the turmoil it just went through, that demonstrates "selective memory," Obama said.

    "This is going to be a major battle on the hill because a lot of these banks have a lot of influence," he said.


  • #2
    Re: Setting Up...for the Next Stimulus Package...

    Who could have known?

    From Feb. 2008:

    Ask iTulip: The Bernanke Goat Rodeo and Doubting the Next Boom

    Never have so many been promised so much by leaders with so little intention to pay up.

    by Eric Janszen

    Interest created by the “Next Bubble” Harper’s article that's now available online has put me way behind on mail from subscribers. Unfortunately, I can’t answer all the great questions. I’ll focus on two that are representative.

    The first question comes from a subscriber who asks:

    Q: “What would EJ do it he were Ben Bernanke?”

    A: The easy answer is: I wouldn’t be Ben Bernanke. I said when he started: “With a storm of credit collapse hitting US shores, Ben Bernanke has stepped into the biggest goat job in central banking history.” (see Ka-Poom is a Rhyme not a Repeat of History). But that’s too easy. Or right after I got the job I could go to Congress and say, “This central banking institution is so broken we’re better off getting rid of it and coming up with something else.” While that approach certainly lets me off the hook, it's not realistic. Where would Congress get the money to fulfill every election promise made if not the Fed's digital printing press? Besides, if the Fed were abolished tomorrow a private institution will step in to fill the role. Which one? I’d put my money on Goldman Sachs. That might be an improvement – at least GS had the good sense to avoid the worst of the housing bubble whereas the Fed made it happen. For all I know if GS were acting as the central bank in 2001 it might have tried to protect itself from losses later and seen to it that lending laws were not broken and crazy securitized debt products not sold.
    Ed.

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Setting Up...for the Next Stimulus Package...

      From the thread, which FRED linked to above -


      Q: And aren't there some other bubbles about to burst, such as bond insurance, commercial paper, consumer debt, and student loans?

      A: And on and on, including fallout from the LBO bubble that ended August 2007, and don’t forget the coming crash in commercial real estate. Friends in the banking industry tell us that a Japan style debt deflation has begun for the US, the UK and Australia. The key difference is that the US is a debtor not a creditor, so as you say monetary injections to prevent the banking system from falling into a liquidity trap will feed into the inflationary spiral and that can get out of hand quickly. We’ve warned of this for years but now it’s front page Wall Street Journal news. For this and the reasons cited above, a boom in Transportation, Energy, and Communications Infrastructure (TECI) by late 2009 is critical.
      Looks like we are not going to get this boom as the gubmint is busy trying to resuscitate the FIRE economy. Fred/EJ, do you see any evidence of this boom materializing?

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Setting Up...for the Next Stimulus Package...

        LOL...the mid-term campaign approaches, and it's not just the summer weather that is a source of heat for those on the Hill...:p
        House scrutinizing how auto dealerships selected for closure

        (CNN) -- A controversy over the way the Obama administration, General Motors and Chrysler decided to shutter more than 3,000 auto dealerships has reached Congress, with a House subcommittee now taking a closer look and a bill under consideration that could reverse the decision.

        A House Judiciary subcommittee is holding two days of hearings to scrutinize how and why the dealerships were chosen for closure. Also at issue is the bill, called the Automobile Dealer Economic Rights Restoration Act, which is supported by more than half of all House members, according to several subcommittee members. The bill would essentially overturn dealership closures...

        ...Panel member Rep. Lamar Smith, R-Texas, said his concern goes further than that.

        "Every day I guess I get a little more concerned about what the administration is doing in regard to the GM and Chrysler bankruptcies. It seems to me that literally the administration is declaring war on capitalism," Smith said...

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