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Jim Rogers plans to short U.S. government bonds someday

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  • Jim Rogers plans to short U.S. government bonds someday

    Jim Rogers Sells Dollars, Plans to Short Treasuries (Update2)
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    By Bob Chen


    July 6 (Bloomberg) -- The dollar and U.S. Treasuries are both likely to slide as soaring government debt in the world’s biggest economy undermines confidence in its assets, according to Jim Rogers, chairman of Rogers Holdings.

    “The government is printing lots of money and borrowing even more; that’s not the basis for a sound currency,” he said in a telephone interview today from Singapore. “The idea that anybody would lend money to the U.S. government for 30 years at 3 or 4 or 5 or 6 percent interest is mind-boggling to me.”

    Rogers, the author of books including “Investment Biker” and “Adventure Capitalist”, said he holds fewer dollars than a year ago and plans to “short U.S. government bonds someday.” A short bet involves selling a security you don’t own with a view to buying it back after the price has fallen.

    The U.S. is stepping up debt sales to finance a record budget deficit as it tries to spend its way out of a recession and that’s causing the supply of the securities to balloon. After more than doubling note and bond offerings to $963 billion in the first half, another $1.1 trillion may be sold by year-end, according to Barclays Plc, one of the 16 primary dealers that are obligated to bid at Treasury auctions.

    ...

    http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...d=aV5j5C_r6VdQ
    Dollar rally will end in a 'currency crisis,' says Jim Rogers

    Tue May 12, 2009 5:13 pm

    “We’re going to have a currency crisis, probably this fall or the fall of 2010,” Rogers said. “It’s been building up for a long time. We’ve had a huge rally in the dollar, an artificial rally in the dollar, so it’s time for a currency crisis.”

    http://www.bi-me.com/main.php?id=361...=33&cg=4&mset=


    I'm surprised he gave such a wide time span for a currency crisis and why everytime he appears, he talks about shorting the dollar someday.

  • #2
    Re: Jim Rogers plans to short U.S. government bonds someday

    Originally posted by D-Mack View Post
    Jim Rogers Sells Dollars, Plans to Short Treasuries (Update2)
    Share | Email | Print | A A A


    By Bob Chen


    July 6 (Bloomberg) -- The dollar and U.S. Treasuries are both likely to slide as soaring government debt in the world’s biggest economy undermines confidence in its assets, according to Jim Rogers, chairman of Rogers Holdings.

    “The government is printing lots of money and borrowing even more; that’s not the basis for a sound currency,” he said in a telephone interview today from Singapore. “The idea that anybody would lend money to the U.S. government for 30 years at 3 or 4 or 5 or 6 percent interest is mind-boggling to me.”

    Rogers, the author of books including “Investment Biker” and “Adventure Capitalist”, said he holds fewer dollars than a year ago and plans to “short U.S. government bonds someday.” A short bet involves selling a security you don’t own with a view to buying it back after the price has fallen.

    The U.S. is stepping up debt sales to finance a record budget deficit as it tries to spend its way out of a recession and that’s causing the supply of the securities to balloon. After more than doubling note and bond offerings to $963 billion in the first half, another $1.1 trillion may be sold by year-end, according to Barclays Plc, one of the 16 primary dealers that are obligated to bid at Treasury auctions.

    ...

    http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...d=aV5j5C_r6VdQ
    Dollar rally will end in a 'currency crisis,' says Jim Rogers

    Tue May 12, 2009 5:13 pm

    “We’re going to have a currency crisis, probably this fall or the fall of 2010,” Rogers said. “It’s been building up for a long time. We’ve had a huge rally in the dollar, an artificial rally in the dollar, so it’s time for a currency crisis.”

    http://www.bi-me.com/main.php?id=361...=33&cg=4&mset=
    I'm surprised he gave such a wide time span for a currency crisis and why everytime he appears, he talks about shorting the dollar someday.
    it's a good line... keeps his commodity fund buyers engaged.

    imagine ej saying... 'maybe this rally in stocks ends this fall or maybe not until next fall' or 'maybe it's a new bull market or maybe not'. :rolleyes:

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Jim Rogers plans to short U.S. government bonds someday

      I think Rogers are out of fashion for the time being. He have had his time in the spotlight lately.

      I think the biggest potential for the time being is in Japan and Germany of the developed markets. Due to their peaks in real estate values around 1990 (declining mostly since then), they have a totally different possibility than the US to extend towards consuming and spending. I think especially Germany can do well. I think there is a change in the making in Germany in the sense that I think they will respond better to inflationary policies, than most other developed countries.

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Jim Rogers plans to short U.S. government bonds someday

        Originally posted by nero3 View Post
        I think Rogers are out of fashion for the time being. He have had his time in the spotlight lately.

        I think the biggest potential for the time being is in Japan and Germany of the developed markets. Due to their peaks in real estate values around 1990 (declining mostly since then), they have a totally different possibility than the US to extend towards consuming and spending. I think especially Germany can do well. I think there is a change in the making in Germany in the sense that I think they will respond better to inflationary policies, than most other developed countries.

        Germany is screwed big time!!! They have the same socialist think as the rest of

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: Jim Rogers plans to short U.S. government bonds someday

          germany dont have the consumer debt all the other western countries are saddled with. So of the western countries, there are no other country with as good chance to recover well.

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: Jim Rogers plans to short U.S. government bonds someday

            Originally posted by nero3 View Post
            germany dont have the consumer debt all the other western countries are saddled with. So of the western countries, there are no other country with as good chance to recover well.
            + no housing bubble


            But as an export nation, where do you export if world trade is broken?

            + smal problems

            (11) Germany has a similar problem due to next September’s national election. After the election, the country’s banking problems will be in the headlines, as several hundreds of billions of risky assets on the balance sheets of a number of banks, mainly regional ones, will need dealing with. It is far from the scope of US and UK banking problems, nevertheless Berlin will probably be faced with a number of potential bank failures. Source: AFP/Google, 04/25/2009. In the United States, the banks bailed out by the federal state have simply lowered the amount of loans granted when they are supposed to do the contrary. Source: CNNMoney, 06/15/2009

            http://www.leap2020.eu/GEAB-N-36-is-...ves_a3359.html
            I don't know if debt to gdp is that bad, but it looks like the US one



            http://www.finfacts.ie/irishfinancen..._1016894.shtml

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