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  • ECB warns US may lose AAA rating

    ECB warns US to lose AAA rating

    English quasi-translation here.

    "Under pessimistic assumptions, the large increase in the budget deficit and public debt mean that the USA downgraded," the ECB said on Monday in their published financial stability report. "If that happens, it could be important consequences for the global financial system, for example, through higher bond yields worldwide."
    It's Economics vs Thermodynamics. Thermodynamics wins.

  • #2
    Re: ECB warns US may lose AAA rating

    Originally posted by *T* View Post
    ECB warns US to lose AAA rating

    English quasi-translation here.
    The ECB is over-rating the ratings agencies. The financial markets are already pricing in the budget deficit and public debt. That is why the Fed is on the rubber chicken circuit complaining about Congress and their $85.6 trillion in existing public debt and unfunded liabilities.



    Yield curve 50 days from June 12 to June 12

    Compare to:



    See: The cheh shaped recovery – Part II: Yield curve says what?
    Ed.

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: ECB warns US may lose AAA rating

      Agreed. I was just surprised to hear the ECB mention this type of risk explicitly.
      It's Economics vs Thermodynamics. Thermodynamics wins.

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: ECB warns US may lose AAA rating

        Originally posted by *T* View Post
        Agreed. I was just surprised to hear the ECB mention this type of risk explicitly.
        Not surprising if our own central bank is doing the same! $85.6 trillion in existing public debt and unfunded liabilities.
        Ed.

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        • #5
          Re: ECB warns US may lose AAA rating

          Originally posted by FRED View Post
          Not surprising if our own central bank is doing the same! $85.6 trillion in existing public debt and unfunded liabilities.
          Well at least, the congress approved the sale of IMF gold, that should put some downward pressure on that pesky gold price (and give them cover to issue more debt).

          http://www.itulip.com/forums/showthread.php?t=10440

          Thank god congress is looking after the financial stability of our blessed country so well.:mad:

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: ECB warns US may lose AAA rating

            Originally posted by jtabeb View Post
            Well at least, the congress approved the sale of IMF gold, that should put some downward pressure on that pesky gold price (and give them cover to issue more debt).

            http://www.itulip.com/forums/showthread.php?t=10440

            Thank god congress is looking after the financial stability of our blessed country so well.:mad:
            We are mightily pleased to have such an impartial and clear headed thinker as Ben Benanke at the helm of the Fed!


            Ed.

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            • #7
              Re: ECB warns US may lose AAA rating

              That's good.

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: ECB warns US may lose AAA rating

                Originally posted by FRED View Post
                We are mightily pleased to have such an impartial and clear headed thinker as Ben Benanke at the helm of the Fed!

                It appears that their model, that takes the output gap into account, should mean that there will be very low inflation. last time the output gap was like this was in 1982. I wonder if there can be a deflationary boom, despite all the hype about inflation.

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                • #9
                  Re: ECB warns US may lose AAA rating

                  Originally posted by nero3 View Post
                  It appears that their model, that takes the output gap into account, should mean that there will be very low inflation. last time the output gap was like this was in 1982. I wonder if there can be a deflationary boom, despite all the hype about inflation.
                  Recommend you read some of the material on this site to understand the situation better. For starters, the Fed created a deflationary boom on purpose starting in the late 1970s by raising interest rates to put the economy into a deflationary recession that was in full swing in 1982. The situation today is not even remotely similar.
                  Ed.

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