The Death of American Capitalism
JUNE 17, 2009
by Dr. Marc Faber
When I consider that prosperity is created by “peace, easy taxes and a tolerable administration of justice,” I begin to fear that the U.S. and other Western governments are doing their very best to impoverish their countries.
A friend of mine, Michael Berry, whose missives I always read, could not have phrased this idea better than in “Importance of the Individual”, a recent report in which he quotes Milton Friedman in a 1979 interview by Phil Donohue.
Berry writes: “On February 11, 1979, Milton Friedman took two and a half minutes to explain the critical importance of the individual and choice in the free enterprise system to a doubting Phil Donohue…The individual’s freedom and ability to choose and take risks to create value are, of course, all-important life elements and a cornerstone of our country…
And yet, Berry continues, “Under the guise of saving the economy, there is a not so stealthy encroachment on the rights of the individual…This is not, ‘Change We Can Believe In.’ It is ‘change we must be wary of.’ Where is Milton Friedman when we really need him? Think carefully about the following interview which was conducted 30 years ago:
‘Phil Donohue: When you see around the globe the mal distribution of wealth, the desperate plight of millions of people in underdeveloped countries. When you see so few haves and so many have-nots. When you see the greed and the concentration of power. Did you ever have a moment of doubt about capitalism? And whether greed is a good idea to run on?
‘Milton Friedman: Well first of all tell me, is there some society you know that doesn’t run on greed? You think Russia doesn’t run on greed? You think China doesn’t run on greed? What is greed? Of course none of us are greedy. It’s only the other fella that’s greedy. The world runs on individuals pursuing their separate interests. The greatest achievements of civilization have not come from government bureaus. Einstein didn’t construct his theory under order from a bureaucrat. Henry Ford didn’t revolutionize the automobile industry that way. In the only cases in which the masses have escaped from the kind of grinding poverty that you are talking about, the only cases in recorded history are where they have had capitalism and largely free trade. If you want to know where the masses are worst off, it’s exactly in the kind of societies that depart from that.
‘So that the record of history is absolutely crystal clear, there is no alternative way, so far discovered, of improving the lot of the ordinary people that can hold a candle to the productive activities that are unleashed by a free enterprise system.
‘Phil Donohue: Seems to reward not virtue as much as the ability to manipulate the system.
‘Milton Friedman: And what does reward virtue? You think the Communist commissar rewards virtue? You think a Hitler rewards virtue? Do you think… American presidents reward virtue? Do they choose their appointees on the basis of the virtue of the people appointed or on the basis of political clout? Is it really true that political self-interest is nobler somehow than economic self-interest? You know, I think you are taking a lot of things for granted. And just tell me where in the world you find these angels that are going to organize society for us? Well, I don’t even trust you to do that.’”
Certainly, you won’t find any angels at central banks around the world or in the Economics faculties of universities. I needed quite a stiff drink after reading a recent Wall Street Journal article by Harvard Professor Gregory Mankiw, who advocates creating negative real interest rates through inflation and seems to have great sympathy for the outright expropriation of savers’ capital.
Professor Mankiw declared his faith in the curative powers of inflation in February 1, 2000 article in the dead Wall Street Journal. “When you look at the mistakes of the 1920s and 1930s,” he said, “they were clearly amateurish. It is hard to imagine that happening again - we understand the business cycle much better.”
The current Federal Reserve Chairman, and of a very large number of US economists, share Mankiw’s perspective – a perspective that he reiterated in a very recent Wall Street Journal piece, entitled, “It May be Time for the Fed to Go Negative” (Wall Street Journal, April 19, 2009).
“With unemployment rising and the financial system in shambles,” Mankiw observes, “it’s hard not to feel negative about the economy right now. The answer to our problems, however, could well be more negativity. [He means negative interest rates]…Lower interest rates encourage households and businesses to borrow and spend. More spending means more demand for goods and services, which leads to greater employment for workers to meet that demand.
Inflation is the answer says Mankiw – a Goldilocks style of inflation that is neither too hot nor too cold.
“Ben S. Bernanke, Fed chairman, is the perfect person to make this commitment to higher inflation,” Mankiw concludes. “Mr. Bernanke has long been an advocate of inflation targeting. In the past, advocates of inflation targeting have stressed the need to keep inflation from getting out of hand. But in the current environment, the goal could be to produce enough inflation to ensure that the real interest rate is sufficiently negative.”
Unfortunately, inflation is a wolf in sheep’s clothing. It seems relatively tame and friendly. But it is quite the opposite. Inflation leads an economy down the path of impoverishment. If a government is determined to create inflation, there is really nothing standing in the way of its doing so.
Nevertheless, an investor can – and should –take precautions. When governments speak openly about creating inflation as a cure for macro-economic ills, the seeds of economic malaise are already germinating.
Gold anyone?
JUNE 17, 2009
by Dr. Marc Faber
When I consider that prosperity is created by “peace, easy taxes and a tolerable administration of justice,” I begin to fear that the U.S. and other Western governments are doing their very best to impoverish their countries.
A friend of mine, Michael Berry, whose missives I always read, could not have phrased this idea better than in “Importance of the Individual”, a recent report in which he quotes Milton Friedman in a 1979 interview by Phil Donohue.
Berry writes: “On February 11, 1979, Milton Friedman took two and a half minutes to explain the critical importance of the individual and choice in the free enterprise system to a doubting Phil Donohue…The individual’s freedom and ability to choose and take risks to create value are, of course, all-important life elements and a cornerstone of our country…
And yet, Berry continues, “Under the guise of saving the economy, there is a not so stealthy encroachment on the rights of the individual…This is not, ‘Change We Can Believe In.’ It is ‘change we must be wary of.’ Where is Milton Friedman when we really need him? Think carefully about the following interview which was conducted 30 years ago:
‘Phil Donohue: When you see around the globe the mal distribution of wealth, the desperate plight of millions of people in underdeveloped countries. When you see so few haves and so many have-nots. When you see the greed and the concentration of power. Did you ever have a moment of doubt about capitalism? And whether greed is a good idea to run on?
‘Milton Friedman: Well first of all tell me, is there some society you know that doesn’t run on greed? You think Russia doesn’t run on greed? You think China doesn’t run on greed? What is greed? Of course none of us are greedy. It’s only the other fella that’s greedy. The world runs on individuals pursuing their separate interests. The greatest achievements of civilization have not come from government bureaus. Einstein didn’t construct his theory under order from a bureaucrat. Henry Ford didn’t revolutionize the automobile industry that way. In the only cases in which the masses have escaped from the kind of grinding poverty that you are talking about, the only cases in recorded history are where they have had capitalism and largely free trade. If you want to know where the masses are worst off, it’s exactly in the kind of societies that depart from that.
‘So that the record of history is absolutely crystal clear, there is no alternative way, so far discovered, of improving the lot of the ordinary people that can hold a candle to the productive activities that are unleashed by a free enterprise system.
‘Phil Donohue: Seems to reward not virtue as much as the ability to manipulate the system.
‘Milton Friedman: And what does reward virtue? You think the Communist commissar rewards virtue? You think a Hitler rewards virtue? Do you think… American presidents reward virtue? Do they choose their appointees on the basis of the virtue of the people appointed or on the basis of political clout? Is it really true that political self-interest is nobler somehow than economic self-interest? You know, I think you are taking a lot of things for granted. And just tell me where in the world you find these angels that are going to organize society for us? Well, I don’t even trust you to do that.’”
Certainly, you won’t find any angels at central banks around the world or in the Economics faculties of universities. I needed quite a stiff drink after reading a recent Wall Street Journal article by Harvard Professor Gregory Mankiw, who advocates creating negative real interest rates through inflation and seems to have great sympathy for the outright expropriation of savers’ capital.
Professor Mankiw declared his faith in the curative powers of inflation in February 1, 2000 article in the dead Wall Street Journal. “When you look at the mistakes of the 1920s and 1930s,” he said, “they were clearly amateurish. It is hard to imagine that happening again - we understand the business cycle much better.”
The current Federal Reserve Chairman, and of a very large number of US economists, share Mankiw’s perspective – a perspective that he reiterated in a very recent Wall Street Journal piece, entitled, “It May be Time for the Fed to Go Negative” (Wall Street Journal, April 19, 2009).
“With unemployment rising and the financial system in shambles,” Mankiw observes, “it’s hard not to feel negative about the economy right now. The answer to our problems, however, could well be more negativity. [He means negative interest rates]…Lower interest rates encourage households and businesses to borrow and spend. More spending means more demand for goods and services, which leads to greater employment for workers to meet that demand.
Inflation is the answer says Mankiw – a Goldilocks style of inflation that is neither too hot nor too cold.
“Ben S. Bernanke, Fed chairman, is the perfect person to make this commitment to higher inflation,” Mankiw concludes. “Mr. Bernanke has long been an advocate of inflation targeting. In the past, advocates of inflation targeting have stressed the need to keep inflation from getting out of hand. But in the current environment, the goal could be to produce enough inflation to ensure that the real interest rate is sufficiently negative.”
Unfortunately, inflation is a wolf in sheep’s clothing. It seems relatively tame and friendly. But it is quite the opposite. Inflation leads an economy down the path of impoverishment. If a government is determined to create inflation, there is really nothing standing in the way of its doing so.
Nevertheless, an investor can – and should –take precautions. When governments speak openly about creating inflation as a cure for macro-economic ills, the seeds of economic malaise are already germinating.
Gold anyone?
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