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Japan is really kaput...Economy Shrank Record 15.2% Last Quarter

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  • Japan is really kaput...Economy Shrank Record 15.2% Last Quarter

    http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...efer=worldwide

    May 20 (Bloomberg) -- Japan’s economy shrank at a record 15.2 percent annual pace last quarter as exports collapsed and consumers and businesses cut spending.

    The contraction followed a revised fourth-quarter drop of 14.4 percent, the Cabinet Office said today in Tokyo. Gross domestic product fell 3.5 percent in the year ended March 31, the most since records began in 1955, confirming that the recession is Japan’s worst in the postwar era.

    Exports plunged an unprecedented 26 percent last quarter, forcing companies from Toyota Motor Corp. to Hitachi Ltd. to cut production, workers and wages. Stocks have gained 32 percent since reaching 26-year low in March on speculation worldwide interest-rate reductions and spending by governments will halt the slide in the world’s second-largest economy.

    “There was a collapse across the board,” said Yoshiki Shinke, a senior economist at Dai-Ichi Life Research Institute in Tokyo. Still, he added that there’s “light at the end of the tunnel” and the economy will resume growing this quarter as companies replenish inventories and stimulus plans at home and abroad take effect.

    The yen traded at 95.71 per dollar at 11 a.m. in Tokyo from 96.16 before the report was published. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average rose 0.4 percent.

    The first-quarter contraction was the most severe since records started 54 years ago. Economists predicted the economy would shrink 16.1 percent.

    Worse Than U.S.

    ...


    Video here


    Video II here
    Inflation! Ha! Those that think that inflation will save their hides are in for a world of hurt... Price increases are not the same as a credit expansion.
    Last edited by Sapiens; May 21, 2009, 03:16 AM.

  • #2
    Re: Japan is really kaput...Economy Shrank Record 15.2% Last Quarter

    Damn, those Brits are not too far behind:

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/e...deflation.html

    ...

    British economy falls even deeper into deflation
    The British economy sank deeper into deflation last month, falling to the lowest level in more than 60 years as the effect of falling house prices and lower mortgage repayments escalated.


    Inflation on the Retail Price Index (RPI) measure, which includes housing costs, dropped sharply to –1.2pc in the year to April, from –0.4pc in March, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said on Tuesday. It was the lowest RPI figure since records began in 1948, and lower than economists had expected.
    ...

    Attached Files

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Japan is really kaput...Economy Shrank Record 15.2% Last Quarter

      Originally posted by Sapiens View Post
      Damn, those Brits are not too far behind:

      http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/e...deflation.html
      Lets throw in Taiwan as well while you're at it...

      May 21 (Bloomberg) -- Taiwan’s economy shrank an unprecedented 10.24 percent last quarter as exports fell and businesses cut spending, a decline that may mark the trough in the island’s recession.
      Article here

      Where, oh where, are the green shoots?

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Japan is really kaput...Economy Shrank Record 15.2% Last Quarter

        Originally posted by LargoWinch View Post
        Where, oh where, are the green shoots?
        more like green shouting
        http://energycommerce.house.gov/inde...ents&Itemid=55

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: Japan is really kaput...Economy Shrank Record 15.2% Last Quarter

          I take your Formosa and raise you a Tequila...

          http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...=latin_america
          May 20 (Bloomberg) -- Mexico’s economy shrank the most since the 1995 Tequila Crisis in the first quarter, and the government lowered its forecast for the full year, as the global financial crisis and the outbreak of swine flu cut demand.

          Gross domestic product, the broadest measure of a country’s output of goods and services, fell 8.2 percent in the first three months of 2009 from a year earlier, the statistics agency said today. Mexican Finance Minister Agustin Carstens said GDP may shrink as much as 5.5 percent this year.

          Mexico’s economy is reeling from the effects of the global slump, particularly the recession in the U.S., which has sapped demand for exports, spurred layoffs and stifled industrial production. An outbreak of swine flu, which has killed 75 people in Mexico, has further eroded economic output.


          ...

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: Japan is really kaput...Economy Shrank Record 15.2% Last Quarter

            Notice this go around with Japan, NO STIMULOUS. At least not on the scale of prior events. Japan is going through a world of hurt, but they are doing the right things by doing as little as possible.

            Their economy will eventually realign to more productive trade with other eastern Asian countries, commodity producers and they will see their economy rise again.

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: Japan is really kaput...Economy Shrank Record 15.2% Last Quarter

              Originally posted by occdude View Post
              Their economy will eventually realign to more productive trade with other eastern Asian countries, commodity producers and they will see their economy rise again.
              A low carbon, energy efficiency economy wins, Japan is well positioned.

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: Japan is really kaput...Economy Shrank Record 15.2% Last Quarter

                Originally posted by bill View Post
                A low carbon, energy efficiency economy wins, Japan is well positioned.
                Bill, is that under the "sustainable development" program?

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: Japan is really kaput...Economy Shrank Record 15.2% Last Quarter

                  Originally posted by Sapiens View Post
                  Bill, is that under the "sustainable development" program?
                  UN blueprinted.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: Japan is really kaput...Economy Shrank Record 15.2% Last Quarter

                    Originally posted by Sapiens View Post
                    http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...efer=worldwide



                    Inflation! Ha! Those that think that inflation will save their hides are in for a world of hurt... Price increases are not the same as a credit expansion.
                    And in the midst of the biggest contraction in global GDP in...what...70 years [?]...crude oil is back at $60 and gold shows no signs of collapsing the way some have predicted... :eek:

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: Japan is really kaput...Economy Shrank Record 15.2% Last Quarter

                      Originally posted by GRG55 View Post
                      And in the midst of the biggest contraction in global GDP in...what...70 years [?]...crude oil is back at $60 and gold shows no signs of collapsing the way some have predicted... :eek:
                      oil didn't get the deflation memo. gold either. silver either. platinum either. copper either. etc. etc.

                      stocks, on the other hand, act as if there's a pile of future inflation out there to kill profits. huh. who could have known?

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: Japan is really kaput...Economy Shrank Record 15.2% Last Quarter

                        Originally posted by metalman View Post
                        oil didn't get the deflation memo. gold either. silver either. platinum either. copper either. etc. etc.

                        stocks, on the other hand, act as if there's a pile of future inflation out there to kill profits. huh. who could have known?
                        Think of it as a shrinking balloon, meaning in an isotropic form, debt defaults extinguish units of the medium of exchange. The items that you have listed above do not default, they are "assets" in themselves, while if you are holding a GM bond, someone's mortgage note, or stock certificate, those can evaporate in an instant.

                        What is happening is that people are trading into tangible assets from debt instruments, while the overall economy is shrinking.

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