Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

Reeling states hit by April tax shortfalls

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • Reeling states hit by April tax shortfalls

    A few choice excerpts from this article, hat-tip to Ash:

    http://money.cnn.com/2009/05/07/news...ion=2009050713



    The latest blow came from the April 15 income tax returns, which states are tallying now. The weak stock market has decimated capital gains tax revenue, upon which many states depend, experts said.

    Already, several states have found revenues coming in well below estimates, prompting officials to scramble to close gaps. Massachusetts and Ohio, for instance, are facing new gaps that could exceed $900 million each. New Jersey is looking at a $500 million shortfall after a government report predicted revenues will come in $1.2 billion below projections, in large part because of sagging income tax revenue.

    [..]

    In Massachusetts, April tax revenue came in $953 million, or 35%, less than a year ago. Officials had anticipated that revenue would fall, but it came in $456 million below their most recent estimate, made on April 15. The bulk of the shortfall came from a $905 million drop in income taxes.

    The state, which has already dealt with a $3 billion budget gap since the start of the fiscal year, now has to come up with nearly $1 billion before June 30. It will likely have to turn to its $1.3 billion rainy day fund and draw from its nearly $1 billion federal stimulus allotment designed to maintain state support of education and public services.


    [..]

    Ohio, meanwhile, saw income tax revenue come in 22% below projections. Through April, income tax receipts are $397 million below the current estimate for fiscal 2009. It's the worst drop in the state's history.

    This means the state is facing a budget shortfall that could exceed $900 million, according to Gov. Ted Strickland's office. He's already cut nearly $2 billion from the state's biennial budget, which runs from July 1, 2007 through June 30, 2009. And last month, he ordered additional restrictions, limiting spending on contracting, supplies and services to critical needs only.

    [..]

    Unlike its 46 peers whose fiscal years end on June 30, Michigan has until the end of September to balance its budget. But the tax shortfalls have been no kinder to the Wolverine State.

    The state revised its revenue estimates downward in January, but the numbers are coming in "way below" those figures, said Liz Boyd, spokeswoman for Gov. Jennifer Granholm. State general fund revenues are projected to decline 21% from fiscal 2008, by far the largest one-year decline in at least 50 years. New estimates will be released mid-month.

    This forced the governor to announce Tuesday a $350 million spending cut, including a 4% across-the-board reduction.

  • #2
    Re: Reeling states hit by April tax shortfalls

    Perfect Storm for a Balance of Payments Crisis?
    (March 13, 2009)

    As argued in “Road to Ruin: Final stretch” the US is vulnerable to a balance of payments crisis. The cause of that crisis is the convergence of four main crisis events, and we are ready to say that these may occur within the next three quarters:
    1. Epiphany that tax receipts will be dramatically lower than current estimates and expectations, creating a fiscal deficit shock (Timing: Late April or early May?)
    Ed.

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Reeling states hit by April tax shortfalls

      [quote=babbittd;97577]A few choice excerpts from this article, hat-tip to Ash:




      ...
      Already, several states have found revenues coming in well below estimates, prompting officials to scramble to close gaps. Massachusetts and Ohio, for instance, are facing new gaps that could exceed $900 million each. New Jersey is looking at a $500 million shortfall after a government report predicted revenues will come in $1.2 billion below projections, in large part because of sagging income tax revenue.

      [..]

      In Massachusetts, April tax revenue came in $953 million, or 35%, less than a year ago. Officials had anticipated that revenue would fall, but it came in $456 million below their most recent estimate, made on April 15. The bulk of the shortfall came from a $905 million drop in income taxes.

      The state, which has already dealt with a $3 billion budget gap since the start of the fiscal year, now has to come up with nearly $1 billion before June 30. It will likely have to turn to its $1.3 billion rainy day fund and draw from its nearly $1 billion federal stimulus allotment designed to maintain state support of education and public services.


      [..]

      Well, it would help if the RepubliCrats (or DemoPubs - they're interchangable) ditched the Keynesian Crapola and STOPped spending more and more and more, thereby foisting off on the Tax Eaters a set of TOTALLY unrealistic expectations. And most of the broadcast media is complicit in the sales job for this insanity.

      At the Federal level I want to see a reduction in Military spending encompassing a HUGE reduction in foreign deployment of our land and air forces. But, it's the Entitlement trap that's killing our fiscal goose.

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Reeling states hit by April tax shortfalls

        Originally posted by FRED View Post
        Perfect Storm for a Balance of Payments Crisis?
        (March 13, 2009)

        As argued in “Road to Ruin: Final stretch” the US is vulnerable to a balance of payments crisis. The cause of that crisis is the convergence of four main crisis events, and we are ready to say that these may occur within the next three quarters:
        1. Epiphany that tax receipts will be dramatically lower than current estimates and expectations, creating a fiscal deficit shock (Timing: Late April or early May?)
        FRED, do you and EJ have an opinion as to what effect said epiphany will have on the US Dollar Index? Sinclair thinks it will drop to about .6200, pause or bounce, then melt all the way down to about .5200. In your opinion is that a realistic target?

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: Reeling states hit by April tax shortfalls

          California just reported April 2009 tax revenues:

          Compared to April 2008, General Fund revenue in April 2009 was down $6.3 billion (-39%). The total for the three largest taxes was below 2008 levels by $6.3 billion (-40.3%). Sales taxes were $452 million lower (-50.9%) than last April, and personal income taxes were down $5.7 billion (-43.6%).
          So, 40% down y-o-y with the fall coming fairly evenly spread out between income, capital gains, and sales taxes.

          This is direct from John Chiang - CA Treasurer.

          Hopefully this is a one month anomaly, but if anything close to this occurs for the remaining months of the year...look out below

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: Reeling states hit by April tax shortfalls

            http://www.register-herald.com/local...120222558.html

            The April revenue figures West Virginia lawmakers want to see before they craft a new state budget show tax collections in better shape than expected, Manchin administration officials said Thursday.

            Deputy Revenue Secretary Mark Muchow said the month’s general tax revenues should exceed estimates by $15 million to $20 million. That would put state government back on track to end the current budget year June 30 balanced or with a minor surplus.

            A key month for annual tax collections, April’s numbers suggest the Legislature won’t have to cut spending in the next budget beyond the $200 million Gov. Joe Manchin has already announced, Muchow said.

            http://www.timesdispatch.com/rtd/new...221007/267350/

            April tax revenue in Virginia fell 21.3 percent, primarily because of a record drop in individual estimated and final payments due May 1.

            Total revenue on a year-to-date basis fell 8.8 percent, the largest drop on record, Brown said. The budget is based on a projected 7.3 percent decline.

            Sales tax collections declined 10 percent from last April, Brown said.

            http://www.wthr.com/Global/story.asp?S=10298597

            Indiana is taking hundreds of millions of dollars less than expected, and a lot more work is ahead for lawmakers who have to budget your tax money. To make it even worse, the governor is concerned we'll see lower-than-expected revenue for the rest of the year.

            It is just what everyone feared.

            "Regrettably in the month of April revenues were not as bad as projected. They were worse," said Gov. Mitch Daniels (R-IN).

            Total tax collections were $255 million below projections made just two weeks ago. Sales tax collections were down 12 percent from one year ago and year-to-date are down four percent. If that holds, the final two months of this fiscal year according to the state budget agency would be the worst yearly decline in state history.


            http://projects.newsobserver.com/und...wn_21_in_april

            North Carolina

            State tax revenues were down 21 percent last month compared to the previous April.

            A new report from state Controller David McCoy notes that tax revenues declined by $623.7 million in April of 2009.

            That put the total decline for the year to date at $1.7 billion, or 11 percent.

            http://www.bizjournals.com/atlanta/s...1/daily18.html

            Georgia’s tax revenue plunge continued in April, the Georgia Department of Revenue reported Monday.

            The state’s revenue from various taxes was down 20.6 percent to $1.4 billion. This figure includes $402.3 million in sales tax revenue (down 24.5 percent), $61.9 million in motor fuel tax revenue (down 29.4 percent), $80.5 million in corporate income tax revenue (down 33.1 percent), $786 million in individual income tax revenue (down 16.9 percent) and $2,1 million in property tax revenue (down 10.7 percent.

            Through April, the Peach State’s tax revenue declined 9.5 percent to $13 billion.

            Georgia’s tax revenue was down 14.5 percent in March and fell 35 percent in February.


            ***


            more here @ Tickerforum: State by State: April Tax Revenue Collection

            http://tickerforum.org/cgi-ticker/akcs-www?post=93463

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: Reeling states hit by April tax shortfalls

              not an expert in foreign currencies, but i believe the index is based upon the us$ relative performance to six other currencies. euro, yen, pound, a$? c$? ?? Anyhow point being I dont know how these other countries spend money and collect taxes but unless the U.S. is in worse shape than these other nations, the u.s. dollar index will not collapse. What is more likely to happen is the purchasing power of the dollar collapse especially against commodities.

              Mr. Jack Crooks thinks the euroland is in worse shape then the us$, and considering I think the euro is around 60% of the currency basket that makes up the us$ index, the us index could actually trend upward. He believes that the problemd in euroland have not been fully recoginzed, fiscal policy is harder to align among the members nations than in a single nation and maybe the stronger nations will leave the euro if push comes to shove (germany)

              I bought a small position in C$ a month ago as a dollar hedge. Working out so far. Have it stopped out at 81. Things are just too crazy.
              Last edited by charliebrown; May 13, 2009, 06:09 PM. Reason: fix grammar

              Comment

              Working...
              X