Re: Buffett predicts more market turbulence
Christoph:
Thanks for your response. I was an audit manager with Arthur Andersen and worked through the last big banking panic in the US in Oklahoma and Texas. I watched as companies received unbelievable loans to businesses with no assets (oil and gas reserves). That ended badly with two of the top ten banks in the US failing -- Continental and Seafirst. Ultimately practically every large bank in Texas and Oklahoma failed. Real estate was the biggest reason for failure then.
What I am seeing now makes then look like a bunch of punters. Supposedly 70% of bank assets relate to real estate now. Add to that loans to hedge funds. Stir in some loans to LBO and what do you have -- massive bank failures.
They should be scarred. A bunch of new MBA's who have never been through a down turn are leading us to bad times.
Christoph:
Thanks for your response. I was an audit manager with Arthur Andersen and worked through the last big banking panic in the US in Oklahoma and Texas. I watched as companies received unbelievable loans to businesses with no assets (oil and gas reserves). That ended badly with two of the top ten banks in the US failing -- Continental and Seafirst. Ultimately practically every large bank in Texas and Oklahoma failed. Real estate was the biggest reason for failure then.
What I am seeing now makes then look like a bunch of punters. Supposedly 70% of bank assets relate to real estate now. Add to that loans to hedge funds. Stir in some loans to LBO and what do you have -- massive bank failures.
They should be scarred. A bunch of new MBA's who have never been through a down turn are leading us to bad times.
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