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"D" Is For Dominance, Debt & Depression by Darryl Robert Schoon

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  • "D" Is For Dominance, Debt & Depression by Darryl Robert Schoon

    "D" Is For Dominance, Debt & Depression
    http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials...oon062207.html

    "D" Is For Dominance, Debt & Depression

    Darryl Robert Schoon
    21 June 2007

    Sell dreams on credit, you'll make a fortune on the interest.

    Often, at the end of a movie, clues once hidden become obvious and the reasons for the fall of the hero or heroine are evident. So, too, it is with history. It is at the end of eras that the causes behind the rise and fall of epochs can be seen.

    We are at the end of an epoch and the signs are as disturbing as they are increasing in occurrence and severity. We now understand the industrial revolution has overheated the Earth to the point of disassembling its life support systems; and that oil, which fueled its rise and perhaps its demise, may be running out as well.

    There is a persistent feeling that for many reasons our present world is unsustainable, that its end is perhaps near; that the apocalypse feared by religious fundamentalists may somehow prove to be true, though not necessarily in the form expected. Systems that previously promised to lead us to a better world have been found to be wanting.

    Democracy, freedom's vaunted vehicle, has now shown itself as inept and as fallible as the Catholic Church during the Inquisition. Recently used as an excuse to invade Iraq, democracy's greatest moment now appears to have already occurred; when under the tyranny of kings democracy was hoped to be the solution to the world's ills. The answer is now known. It is not.

    But the greatest failing of this epoch is still to come. The collapse of the world economies created by modern banking-built on a foundation of debt larger than ever imagined-is now about to occur. And, as this epoch ends, the role modern banking played in the coming collapse of the world economy is clear.

    MODERN BANKING
    THE CAUSE OF THE COMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE

    It is what you cannot see that explains what you don't understand.

    Modern banking, i.e. the issuance of debt as money, changed forever the face of commerce, first in the west and then in the east. In one fell swoop, the biblical admonition against usury, the charging of interest for the loaning of money, was put aside in the west and replaced with a system where usury formed the very basis of money and therefore commerce.

    Prior to modern banking, in both east and west money was a medium of exchange, a unit of value either gold or silver or sometimes both. With the advent of modern banking, money was created by governments, issued in the form of debt; and usury, the interest rate, became the sole determinant of its rate of issuance.

    How did this extraordinary change occur? The answer is clear, once the question is asked. Modern banking served the interests of those who created it-government and private bankers.

    Turning usury into the only accepted form of world commerce could not have been accomplished had the Catholic Church maintained its power in the west. But the Church's power waned after the Dark Ages and secular forces in the form of monarchial governments and private bankers quickly took its place.

    Whereas the intent of the Church had been to subjugate the minds and souls of men, the intent of governments had been to subjugate the lands of others and now with the assistance of private bankers it was possible.
    Wars could now be fought on the come and giving private bankers the power to issue money only in the form of debt was the price willingly paid by governments to those who enabled their imperialist aims.

    USURY
    ONCE THE BAIN OF MANKIND
    NOW THE KEY TO CONQUEST AND EMPIRE

    Public money controlled by private bankers may in fact be the first act of privatization, the act of privatizing a heretofore government function for the purpose of private profit. Governments gave up the power to coin money in exchange for the apparently greater ability to wage war. But the cost to government is now becoming obvious.

    In retrospect, the price-at least for governments-was high. For as we enter the 21st century, it is clear that bankers got the better of the bargain. With governments and their citizenry now burdened with increasingly unsustainable levels of debt, private bankers are benefiting as never before and bankers, not governments, have the upper hand.

    "Permit me to issue and control the money of a nation and I care not who makes the laws." -- Mayer Amschel Rothschild, founder of the Rothschild banking dynasty, 1790

    But in the early days of the marriage between government and private bankers, it appeared otherwise-at least to the governments. England, the birthplace of both modern banking and the industrial revolution parlayed this relationship into the greatest empire the world has ever seen.

    With the ability to finance its military and navy with future debt, not past savings, England parlayed this advantage into a world empire. Imperialism, the name given to the west's monetary, industrial and military domination over the non-industrialized world benefited England as no other.

    The year 1850 marked England's dominance and its apogee as a world power. But twenty years later, England's balance of trade turned negative and a constant and growing trade imbalance in combination with the cost of maintaining a worldwide military presence drained the British treasury of its gold. By the end of the century, England's grip on world power was over.

    England reached its peak in 1850; one century later the US was to also achieve the same. In 1950, like England one hundred years before, the US was the world's most powerful nation and possessed 75 % of the world's monetary gold, the largest amount owned by any nation in history. However, just as with England, circumstances were to soon change.

    By the 1970s, the US balance of trade had turned negative and the 21,775 tons of gold the US had possessed in 1950 was almost gone, sold to finance America's worldwide military presence and the overseas expansion of its corporations.

    By the end of the century, the US, once the world's richest nation was now the world's largest debtor. In 2006, the St Louis Federal Reserve Bank issued a report stating:

    The gap between future US receipts and future US government obligations now totals $65.9 trillion, a sum that is impossible for the US to reconcile, which means the US is now technically bankrupt.

    Such government indebtedness would have shocked the Founding Fathers. The revolt against England's rule in 1776 had has much to do with debt and taxation as it had to do with liberty and freedom.

    Thomas Jefferson had already observed the effects of England's pact with private bankers on its citizens:

    If we run into such debts as that we must be taxed as the people of England are, our people, like them, must come to labor sixteen hours in the twenty-four, and give the earnings of fifteen of these to the government for their debts and daily expenses;

    And the sixteenth being insufficient to afford us bread, we must live, as they do now, on oatmeal and potatoes, have no time to think, no means of calling the mis-managers to account; but be glad to obtain subsistence by hiring ourselves to rivet their chains around the necks of our fellow sufferers;

    And this is the tendency of all human governments. A departure from principle in one instance becomes a precedent for a second, that second for a third, and so on 'til the bulk of the society is reduced to be mere automatons of misery, to have no sensibilities left but for sinning and suffering...

    And the precursor of this frightful team is public debt. Taxation follows that, and in its train wretchedness and oppression.

    PUBLIC DEBT
    TAXATION THEN
    WRETCHEDNESS AND OPPRESSION

    In 1913, America made the very same "bargain" with private bankers as had England in the 1700s. Realizing that England's days of empire were numbered, private bankers moved quickly to institute the same system in America that had benefited them so well in England.

    In 1913, with the creation of the Federal Reserve Act, the US government transferred its power to issue money to private bankers-thereby forever indebting the US government and its citizens to a future of increasing debt at the hands of its new creditors.

    Private bankers had convinced President Woodrow Wilson the Federal Reserve Act would benefit all Americans, not just the bankers. Too late, President Wilson realized his horrific mistake:

    I am a most unhappy man. I have unwittingly ruined my country. A great industrial nation is controlled by its system of credit. Our system of credit is concentrated. The growth of the nation, therefore, and all our activities are in the hands of a few men. We have come to be one of the worst ruled, one of the most completely controlled and dominated governments in the civilized world, no longer a government by free opinion, no longer a government by conviction and the vote of the majority, but a government by the opinion and duress of a small group of dominant men.

    With the creation of the US Federal Reserve Bank, Thomas Jefferson's fears had been realized. Private bankers now controlled the issuance of money in America and debt replaced savings as America's method of commerce; a method that would increase America's indebtedness in direct proportion to the profits of bankers; and today in 2007, Jefferson's fears are coming true:

    If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of their currency, first by inflation, then by deflation, (i.e., the "business cycle") the banks and corporations that will grow up around them will deprive the people of all property until their children wake-up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered.

    Jefferson's words are especially relevant in 2007 as America's historic housing bubble collapses and banks foreclose on loans made to the vulnerable and unwitting; thereby depriving the people of all property until their children wake-up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered.

    DOMINANCE & DEBT
    DEPRESSION
    IS NEXT

    Today, the US economy is a "dead man walking", a term used to describe those condemned to death but still alive. Like in the movies, the scene has now been set, events have transpired that will determine the outcome, and although the exact ending is not yet known, the end itself is unavoidable.

    The amount of debt owed by the US government and its citizens can never be repaid. In today's modern banking system, debt-money is constantly fed into the system until debt levels reach such heights debts cannot be serviced or retired. At that point, the system will begin to collapse. This is where we are today.

    The coming collapse may be triggered by a run on the US dollar, once backed by gold but now an irredeemable piece of paper whose only value is determined by speculators, or it may be triggered by the failure of an over-leveraged hedge fund or the inability of a large money-center bank suddenly unable to meet its obligations.

    But irregardless of what triggers the coming collapse-the collapse will result from our worldwide modern banking system, a system whereby governments allow private bankers to issue debt as money in order to further the insatiable ambitions of those who govern.

    "Deep down in our hearts, we have been accomplices in doing something terrible and unforgivable to our wonderful country. Deep down in our heart, we know that we have given our children a legacy of bankruptcy. We have defrauded our country to get ourselves elected." -- US Senator John Danforth 1992

    Darryl Robert Schoon
    www.survivethecrisis.com


  • #2
    Re: "D" Is For Dominance, Debt & Depression by Darryl Robert Schoon

    http://ww1.prweb.com/prfiles/2007/05...isexcerpt1.doc

    HOW TO SURVIVE THE CRISIS
    AND PROSPER IN THE PROCESS

    TIME OF THE VULTURE
    SECTION I
    Topic 1


    In times of expansion, it is to the hare the prizes go. Quick, risk taking, and bold, his qualities are exactly suited to the times. In periods of contraction, the tortoise is favored. Slow and conservative, quick only to retract his vulnerable head and neck, his is the wisest bet when the slow and sure is preferable to the quick and easy.

    Every so often, however, there comes a time when neither the hare nor the tortoise is the victor. This is when both the bear and the bull have been vanquished, when the pastures upon which the bull once grazed are long gone and the bear's lair itself lies buried deep beneath the rubble of economic collapse.

    This is the time of the vulture, for the vulture feeds neither upon the pastures of the bull nor the stored up wealth of the bear. The vulture feeds instead upon the blind ignorance and denial of the ostrich. The time of the vulture is at hand.


    The Time of the Vulture is not just a story. It is a story whose time has come. And if you understand why the story is true, you will be able to protect yourself and profit in the chaotic days ahead. If you do not, you will play the ostrich in a story that will soon affect us all, rich and poor, bull and bear, ostrich and vulture alike.

    When investing, people do not choose to be bulls or bears. Being risk taking or risk adverse is often due to personality. But people do choose to be ostriches, especially in times of change. This is because denial of change—the refuge of the ostrich—gives all of us a sense of security. Though the security is as false as the comfort it offers, unfortunately many, if not most of us, will choose to be ostriches in the days ahead.

    WHO WILL BE THE OSTRICHES?

     Those who resist change, insisting that what was true yesterday will be true tomorrow.
     Those who do not understand that we are in the midst of the mother of all paradigm shifts, a shift so fundamental the world of tomorrow will bear little resemblance to the world of today.
     Those who have been so financially successful in the current paradigm, they will not realize the world has changed until too late.

    The line separating investment and speculation, which is never bright and clear, becomes blurred still further when most market participants have recently enjoyed triumphs. Nothing sedates rationality like large doses of effortless money. After a heady experience of that kind, normally sensible people drift into behavior akin to that of Cinderella at the ball. They know that overstaying the festivities - that is, continuing to speculate in companies that have gigantic valuations relative to the cash they are likely to generate in the future - will eventually bring on pumpkins and mice. But they nevertheless hate to miss a single minute of what is one helluva party. Therefore, the giddy participants all plan to leave just seconds before midnight. There’s a problem, though: They are dancing in a room in which the clocks have no hands.
    Warren Buffet Berkshire Hathaway 2000 Annual Report

    UNDERSTANDING TODAY’S COMPLEX FINANCIAL MARKETS

    If you can understand your local real estate market you can understand what is going to happen to complex global financial markets. Although mortgages and multiple listings have little in common with derivative swaps and tranches, what threatens US real estate now threatens global financial markets. Prices of both local real estate and global financial markets are now on the verge of collapse because of rising interest rates.

    THE THREAT OF RISING INTEREST RATES

    The US housing boom (2002-2005) was created by low interest rates. The reasons for the low interest rates are as misunderstood as why interest rates are now rising.

    The Lord giveth and the Lord taketh away. Well, regarding home purchases, the Lord did give, in the form of low interest rates; however, regarding the future, it appears what the Lord hath given is now being taken away.

    This is why:

    After the collapse of the dot.com bubble in 2000, the policy of easy credit was instituted by the US Federal Reserve to keep the US from slipping into a deflationary (low demand) cycle as happened after the 1929 stock market crash. That deflationary cycle became the Great Depression.

    The Fed was also aware that the more recent 1989 crash of the Japanese stock market had plunged Japan into its own deflationary cycle. When the dot.com stock bubble burst in March of 2000, deflation in the US (the world’s largest economy), in addition to a still continuing deflation in Japan (the world’s 2nd largest economy), was far too dangerous to allow.

    A simultaneous deflation in both the US and Japan would inevitably spread to the rest of the world and cause another depression. The solution chosen by the US and the Japanese Central Banks was to flood their economies with easy credit. Central Bank interest rates in the US plunged to 1 % and Japanese rates were already slashed to 0 % -- in reality a negative interest rate because of constant inflationary monetary growth.

    This flood of easy credit temporarily had the desired effect; and the US, reinvigorated by this flood of cheap credit, managed to stay afloat thanks to a housing boom and bubble cycle set in motion by never-before-seen 1 % interest rates.

    Japan’s descent into its 15-year deflationary cycle was also slowed. There, the flood of Japanese yen reinvigorated not only its moribund banking system, but, more importantly, inadvertently fueled a worldwide boom in financial markets.

    With 0 % interest rates, it was believed only a fool could not make money investing at that rate (and no investment banker has ever believed him/herself to be a fool). From these 0 % interest rates a heretofore unknown monetary phenomenon known as the yen carry-trade became the primary engine of worldwide financial speculation.

    Borrowing Japanese yen cheap and investing in anything that promised higher returns became the game of choice for the world financial community, producing hundreds of billions of dollars in profits for investment banks and speculators during the past five years. And, by April 2006, the flood of easy credit had driven prices in virtually all markets (housing, stocks, bonds, commodities, derivatives, etc.) to multi-year highs.

    However, this has now changed. In May 2006, the US stock market began to falter with the Dow suffering multi-100 plus losses on several occasions, and emerging market equities took the biggest hit of all, losing an estimated $5 billion of value in a week.

    From mid-May to mid-June ‘06, the total loss for world stock markets was $2 trillion. 2006/2007 may be for worldwide financial markets what 2005 was for the US housing market, a market top whose bottom is still yet to be seen. The reason for both is the same; easy credit and low interest rates are a thing of the past. Tight credit and higher interest rates now lie ahead.

    This is why:

    Easy credit has led to higher prices and to increasing inflation. To combat inflation, the only weapon of Central Banks is higher interest rates. This is where the problems of local real estate markets merge with the rest of the world. Local home buyers and sellers are in the same boat as investment bankers at Citicorp, Goldman Sachs, and JP Morgan.

    Because their purchases and profits are based on the availability of low interest loans, local home buyers and global investment bankers are equally vulnerable as interest rates rise. Prices depend on buyers and when buyers depend on credit and credit becomes dear, prices collapse. The collapse of housing prices in local markets will affect local home owners and local economies. The collapse of prices in global financial markets will affect the entire world.

    While past experience provides historical precedents, it does not predict what, in fact, will happen. Twenty-five years ago, in a like time of economic insecurity, the US Central Bank raised interest rates to 21.5 % in order to bring inflation under control.

    At the time, I had a $400,000 bank line of credit and dealt in a luxury item, fine hand-knotted Chinese carpets. When interest rates skyrocketed, suddenly wall to wall carpeting and linoleum flooring didn’t look so bad. I and many others went out of business and inflation was brought under control.

    Today, the environment is very different. Now, public, private, and business indebtedness is at an all-time high. The Reagan years ushered in a mentality of borrow now, make payments forever, and never pay anything off. The prevailing mantra has become refinance, refinance, refinance. This became true for governments, families, and businesses.

    If interest rates are raised as they were in the past, the economic carnage will be far greater than before. And if interest rates are not raised, mild inflation may turn virulent and the flow of foreign moneys upon which we have grown dependent will come to an abrupt halt and with it, our very way of life.

    That homes should be built on rock instead of sand is wise advice. Credit, the most porous of masonry, is the foundation of most homes in America and most investments in the world today. Adjustable-rate mortgages comprise 31 % of US mortgages and the majority of Japanese yen loans are written for less than a year. Because of this, the years ahead may be more painful than even the Great Depression. We are all in for a very rough ride.

    To sum up what we have just learned:

     Fearful the collapse of Japanese and US stock market bubbles would rekindle deflationary pressures, Central Banks in the US and Japan slashed interest rates to historically low levels to stimulate demand.
     The combined US and Japanese low interest rates caused prices of real estate, stocks, and bonds in world markets to suddenly inflate as buyers now had access to very cheap credit.
     These low interest rates fueled a rise in demand resulting in higher prices for real estate and global financial instruments. This sudden availability of low-interest money rekindled global inflationary pressures.
     Inflationary pressures are now forcing Central Banks in the US, Japan, and Europe to raise interest rates.
     High interest rates will cause prices of real estate and world financial markets to collapse.
     Collapsing prices will in turn once again renew downward deflationary pressures.

    The collapse of real estate and world financial markets will not, however, be merely another cyclical correction in the markets. The coming collapse will be an omega event, a one-time event of unprecedented proportions. To understand why this will be, you must first understand how the fortunes of the US and the US dollar have changed since 1950.

    Darryl Robert Schoon
    www.survivethecrisis.com
    “How To Survive The Crisis And Profit In The Process”

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: "D" Is For Dominance, Debt & Depression by Darryl Robert Schoon

      http://ww1.prweb.com/prfiles/2007/05...sexcerpt1I.doc

      HOW TO SURVIVE THE CRISIS
      AND PROSPER IN THE PROCESS

      TIME OF THE VULTURE

      SECTION V

      THE REAL DEBATE
      INFLATION OR DEFLATION
      TRAPPED BETWEEN TWO NIGHTMARES
      Topic 22

      It is in the beginning that the reason for the end can usually be found. When the dot.com bubble burst in 2000, it was deflation that Greenspan feared. Now, interrupted by an intervening property and investment bubble, irrespective of what the pundits say, it is not inflation, but deflation that keeps Central Bankers worrying and awake at night. The nightmare is not yet over. It has not yet even begun.

      The discussion in financial columns is focused on inflation. The two reasons are: (1) inflation is perceived to be the immediate threat to the economy, determining whether or not interest rates will rise, and (2) the possibility of deflation is so fundamentally threatening, Central Bankers discuss it only in private, out of the public eye. Deflation is the elephant in the room which no one will acknowledge.

      In our credit-money system, price inflation is the inevitable consequence of constantly increasing flows of debt. In such a system, expansion is followed by contraction, ad infinitum. As money is but debt-in-motion, over time, debt levels will eventually attain such heights that they can no longer be sustained. At that time the expansion will turn into a contraction commonly referred to as a recession.

      A particularly apt description of this expansion/contraction process follows, excerpted from an article titled Ponzi Economy, posted July 10, 2006 at www.dailyreckoning.com.

      PONZI ECONOMY

      Everybody likes a credit boom. They all believe they have more money. This is the dirty little secret of modern central banking. It only works by stealth and fraud – silently debauching the currency so that people make mistakes.

      The businessman believes there is more demand for his products than there really is. The consumer believes he has more purchasing power than he really has. The lender believes the borrower is a better risk than he really is. All these mistaken judgments lead to spending, investing and lending – which look to all the world like a bona-fide boom.

      But it is an ersatz boom, a public spectacle, founded on fraud, expanded into farce, and ending ultimately in disaster. Eventually, everyone gets too stretched out on credit.

      Then, the bubble finally finds a pin somewhere, and the air wheezes out. That's the part that no one cares for, because it is when people discover that they've made mistakes, that they've over-reached, and that they’ve been had.

      If, as we believe, we're at the beginning of the disaster stage, the Fed's real enemy is not inflation at all; it's deflation. Typically, a credit contraction shrinks everything down with it. Earnings go down. Consumer spending is reduced. GDP growth falls...or even goes negative. And prices for most financial assets dive.

      When a deflationary collapse is severe enough—when the preceding bubble is large enough—it becomes a depression. Fortunately, such occurrences are as rare as they are severe. In the 20th century it happened only once, in the aftermath of the 1920s US speculative stock market bubble—until that time, the largest speculative bubble in history.

      Two larger bubbles have collapsed since then. The first was the Japanese Nikkei, Japan’s stock market in 1990. The second was the US dot.com bubble in 2000. Now a third, the largest in history, is about to deflate.

      The third such deflation will be the US and global real estate bubble; the effect of the implosion of these three trillion-dollar bubbles will then culminate in the mother of all deflationary collapses—the time of the vulture.

      When the Japanese bubble collapsed in 1990, the Nikkei lost 80 % of its value and drove down the prices of residential and commercial property in the process. This collapse of equity and housing prices subsequently unleashed deflationary forces in Japan still in effect today.

      Much like a stubborn and malignant cancer, deflation has been eating away at the Japanese economy ever since its appearance in 1990. In spite of 0 % interest rates from 1999 to mid-2006, statistics compiled by The Economist Magazine show what deflation is still doing in Japan.

      COUNTRY HOUSING PRICES1997-2006
      United States + 100 %
      France + 127 %
      Australia + 132 %
      Britain + 192 %
      Ireland + 252 %
      South Africa + 327 %
      Japan - 32 %


      DO YOU STILL WONDER WHY GREENSPAN WORRIED
      ABOUT A SPECULATIVE BUBBLE FORMING IN THE US?

      If deflation occurs in the US , it will be far worse than what happened to Japan. The Japanese economy did not slide into a deflationary depression because during the 1990s, the US economy, in a credit-driven expansion, imported billions of dollars of Japanese products.

      The American expansion occurred exactly as the Japanese economy was contracting and because the Japanese economy is export driven, the US expansion kept Japan from slipping down the slope that all Central Bankers fear, the slope that ends in a deflationary depression.

      Such will not be the case if the US succumbs to deflationary forces. The US no longer is an export economy, but is now a very large importer. No longer capable of exporting itself out of deflation, the US is particularly bereft of options as it approaches the time of the vulture.

      This is why Greenspan issued his warning in the fall of 1996, warning the US and Congress that irrational exuberance in the markets might lead to dire consequences.

      …how do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly escalated asset values, which then become subject to unexpected and prolonged contractions as they have in Japan over the past decade?

      Greenspan was warning specifically about deflation and what had occurred in Japan. When the US bubble was allowed to grow until it collapsed in March 2000, US markets began to deflate as Greenspan had predicted forcing the Fed to slash rates in order to stop deflationary forces from turning into a deflationary depression.

      What the 1 % interest rates set in motion, however—a multi-trillion dollar real estate bubble—may in fact cause the very deflationary depression Greenspan hoped to avoid; a depression that would affect not only the US, but the entire world.

      Beginning October 2006, over 1.4 million adjustable-rate real estate loans worth in excess of $2 trillion were due to be “re-adjusted”. The US now has over 5 million adjustable-rate real estate mortgages and 25 % of those loans are now due to be re-adjusted upwards.

      It is estimated that monthly mortgage payments on these loans will increase by 50 % or more. An increase of this magnitude will send a significant number of those loans directly into foreclosure.

      The deflating real estate bubble will not only cause a wave of foreclosures, it will also wreak havoc on the millions of homeowners who refinanced their homes during the bubble. Since 2001, over one trillion dollars has been extracted from homeowner equity by refinancing.

      The problem is that much of that equity was never real; it was only bubble equity temporarily inflated by the availability of low cost loans. Now that loan costs are higher, home prices will drop, as will existing valuations, but the money spent and now owed will remain. Many homeowners will find themselves with negative equity, owing more than their homes are worth.

      Many homeowners will choose to walk away rather than make payments in excess of what their homes are worth. If they do, they will then discover they cannot do so easily. Because they refinanced their homes, they will discover that their refinanced mortgages are now categorized as recourse loans, instead of the non-recourse loans they originally were.

      A NON-RECOURSE LOAN ALLOWS
      THE LENDER TO REPOSSESS THE HOUSE

      A RECOURSE LOAN ALLOWS THE LENDER
      TO REPOSSESS THE HOUSE AND ATTACH
      ALL ASSETS OWNED BY THE DEBTOR

      ONLY THE BANKERS WILL HAVE RECOURSE
      THE BORROWERS WILL HAVE NONE

      When a homeowner has refinanced his home, in case of default the bank can take back the house, but can also attach all wages, bank accounts, cars, etc. This is the position in which many homeowners will soon find themselves.

      BUT THE
      GREATEST DANGER
      IS THAT THE COLLAPSE OF
      THE GLOBAL REAL ESTATE BUBBLE
      WILL AWAKEN GLOBAL DEFLATIONARY FORCES

      A deflationary recession in the US could plunge Japan back into the deflation it has been struggling to overcome since 1990; and with both the US and Japan in the grip of deflationary forces, the world economy will be at risk as never before—at least not since the 1930s.

      A WORLDWIDE DEFLATIONARY DEPRESSION IS AS THREATENING AS IT IS NOW POSSIBLE—AND THAT’S THE REASON NO ONE IS TALKING ABOUT IT

      Darryl Robert Schoon
      www.survivethecrisis.com
      “How To Survive The Crisis And Profit In The Process”

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: "D" Is For Dominance, Debt & Depression by Darryl Robert Schoon

        http://ww1.prweb.com/prfiles/2007/05...excerpt1II.doc


        LADIES AND GENTLEMEN
        PLACE YOUR BETS
        THE LAST ROUND IS ABOUT TO BEGIN
        Topic 12

        Betting is always risky. But now, doing nothing, is the riskiest bet of all.

        The third stage of economic-collapse is now underway. If you do not want to be a victim of what is to be a financial tsunami, you must take steps to prevent it. And this, the beginning of the third stage, is the last time you will be able to do so.

        But if you do take the right steps, if you do choose the right investment strategies, you will profit as perhaps never before.

        It is never easy to understand or accept anything that does not conform to previously-held beliefs. The human mind accepts only that which confirms what it already “knows”—this is true whether you are a Muslim, a Buddhist, a Christian, or an atheist.

        If you believe the US is financially healthy, that with hard work and a little luck you will do fine in the days ahead, then what has been presented here is directly at odds with what you “know”.

        And, as such, your mind is predisposed to reject the conclusions and premises of this book. To do so, however, will put your future and the future of those entrusted to your care at extreme risk.

        Trust is a critically important issue now and we have been told since birth to trust those in control. Unfortunately, we are told this because our trust makes their control so much easier; not because their trust is deserved or justified.

        It is now time for you to decide what and whom to trust. Your very future depends on it. God and your intuition is a good place to start.

        You now know the US dollar is at risk in the world markets, that with the largest deficit of any nation in history, with the largest trade imbalance of any nation in history, with the largest debt of any nation in history, the outlook for the US is not promising.

        This is obviously not the party line of those in control, those in government who know what is true, who know what is actually happening and what is actually at risk in the days ahead. This is the same government that was warned the levees could be breached by Hurricane Katrina and said nothing to the citizens of New Orleans or the nation.

        This is the same government that is now reassuring you, its citizens, that all is well; while ensuring that the rich and their friends will have more than enough to survive the tough times ahead. And if you still believe the US government is “your” government, be aware that you now do so at your own risk.

        Imagine the US to be a ship, the USS US as it were. The captain of the ship, the President, elected by those on board, appears to be in charge. But that’s only how it appears. President Eisenhower’s reluctance to challenge the owners, the military-industrial complex, is evidence that this is not so. It is the ship’s owners and their financiers on Wall Street who have the real power, not the captain.

        The US government has been captive to these powerful financial interests for decades. If Americans attempt to buy discounted prescription drugs from Canada, they are threatened by the government they elected to protect them.

        If US ranchers want to test their cattle for mad-cow disease, they can be prosecuted by the US government for so doing. Today, US regulatory agencies are more agents for those they are charged to regulate than they are overseers of the public good.

        When the dot.com bubble was allowed to grow until it collapsed, it was because the ship’s owners pressured the ship’s navigator, Alan Greenspan, to continue on course even though Greenspan warned that an extremely large iceberg was directly ahead.

        To the owners, billions in profits were more important than either the ship’s safety or the well-being of its passengers. Greenspan was right and the USS US soon collided with the iceberg, causing the largest speculative bubble in history to collapse and the rest is history—well not all of it yet.

        While the USS US is taking on water and listing badly, you are reading this hoping that you can somehow save yourself and your loved ones from the disaster that appears to await you and your fellow passengers.

        The passengers, although they’ve been reassured by the ship’s captain that all is well, there is nothing to worry about and we’ll get through this patch of rough weather in no time, are beginning to worry. They’re beginning to think the ship’s captain, President George W. Bush, the son of a previous captain, isn’t quite up to the job and there’s even grumbling among those who elected him that this might be so.

        But the ship’s owners think he’s doing just fine. After all, although the passengers elected him, he works for them. And although the shipping line is now heavily indebted and going broke, the captain has allowed the owners to take their money off the top. And while the ship may be going down, the fortunes of those in the first class cabins have never been better.

        Today, these powerful interest groups, the military-industrial complex and Wall Street bankers, control both US domestic and foreign policies. The decision to go to war is perhaps the most momentous decision a nation can make—and Americans, the passengers of the USS US, were deceived from the very beginning about the reasons for doing so.

        The war had nothing to do with weapons of mass destruction. That was a selling point, a salesman’s phony and now fatal excuse to sell a war to a frightened nation. The war was also never about spreading democracy. That was an afterthought. The Iraq war was really about oil, money, and rearranging geopolitical boundaries in the Middle East. But that wouldn’t sell on Fox News so they made up reasons that would.

        The blunder now called the war in Iraq was conceived and instigated in the office of Vice-President Dick Cheney prior to 9/11. And, Cheney, the former CEO of Halliburton Corporation made sure Halliburton would do quite well when the invasion took place—for Dick Cheney and Halliburton are part and parcel of the military-industrial complex, those responsible for the disappearance of America’s gold, its priceless freedoms, and the consequent problems we now face.

        There exists a shadowy Government with its own Air Force, its own Navy, its own fundraising mechanism, and the ability to pursue its own ideas of national interest, free from all checks and balances, and free from the law itself.
        US Senator Daniel K. Inouye, Senate Iran-Contra Hearings

        Before the US invaded Iraq in 2003, Halliburton was 19th on the U.S. Army's list of contractors. After the invasion, Halliburton became the Army’s number one contractor, charging the US $4.2 billion for its services. In 2005, Halliburton billed the US in excess of $7 billion. In 2006, Halliburton expected to receive at least $4 billion more from the US government.

        In war, there are winners and losers. The US may be doing badly in Iraq along with the Iraqis, but the same can’t be said for Halliburton and the many private Pentagon contractors. Pentagon accountants have stated they are uncertain as to why Halliburton's KBR unit billed the government for $1.8 billion for work that was apparently never undertaken or completed.

        THE ANSWER IS OBVIOUS:
        BECAUSE THEY COULD

        When Cheney was CEO of Halliburton, Halliburton’s tax payments went from $302 million in 1998 to zero in 1999, a year in which Halliburton also received an $85 million refund from the IRS. During his first five years as Vice-President, Cheney’s stock options in Halliburton increased in value 3,281 %, from $241,498 to over $8 million.

        With Cheney as Vice-President of the US, Halliburton was awarded billions of dollars in no-bid US government contracts for supplying food and oil in Iraq and for reconstruction work in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina.

        Worse than traitors in arms are the men who pretend loyalty to the flag, [and] feast and fatten on the misfortunes of the Nation
        Abraham Lincoln

        To the owners of the USS US and their bankers, this is a win-win situation. To the passengers, it is a losing proposition. The difference is that the passengers don’t get a vote except on Election Day, and that vote means absolutely nothing.

        Cheney has said as Vice-President that his money is held in a blind trust; and indeed it is, for without the blindness and trust of Americans the US would never have fallen into his grasp and others like him. In the 1950s, the US was the most powerful nation in the world, admired for its freedoms and leadership; but now, only a half century later, the US is but a pauper on paper, its freedoms a fading memory of a once magnificent past and its currency a soon-to-be-greatly-discounted piece of paper on the world’s foreign exchange markets.

        Blind trust is almost always paid for with blood and money. This time is no different. What you know about your government is what your government has wanted you to know. You believed them in the past and look at what is happening now. Believe them in the future and you will find you will have no future at all. The choice, as always, is yours.

        When the USS US starts to sink, most Americans will dutifully line up on deck as instructed by the ship’s officers, told that lifeboats will soon be lowered for them to board. What they will discover is that the lifeboats are already full with passengers from the upper decks, from the first class cabins, the corporate and presidential suites.

        The passengers from the lower decks and steerage will be, as always, left to fend for themselves, hoping against hope that their WalMart life vests will protect them and their families from the frigid economic waters that will soon surround them.

        Personally, if you’re still reading this while the USS US is still afloat, I suggest you’d better start looking for something that might actually float.

        Darryl Robert Schoon
        www.survivethecrisis.com
        “How To Survive The Crisis And Profit In The Process”

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: "D" Is For Dominance, Debt & Depression by Darryl Robert Schoon

          http://ww1.prweb.com/prfiles/2007/05...onArticles.doc


          http://www.prweb.com/releases/Daryl_...rweb526034.htm
          Index of Articles:

          1. Take Your Money Off the Table NOW page 1
          2. Subprime America Infects Asia And Europe page 2
          3. The Right to Lie page 5
          4. Credit Interest Rates Heroin Death Politicians page 6
          5. Make Millions By Loaning Money That’s Not Even Yours page 8
          That You Don’t Even Have – it’s all legal too
          6. Depression Not A Recession page 10
          7. What’s Up With Gold page 12
          8. Iraq –A Son’s Revenge page 13


          _____________________


          Take Your Money Off The Table NOW

          Stocks are at all time highs. Remember, buy low sell high? Now is the time to take that advice.

          The world economy is awash with bubbles. Last month legendary advisor and Dick Cheney’s banker Jeremy Grantham wrote: “Everything’s a bubble… from the junkiest bonds to mundane blue chips; it’s bubble time.” Inflation, now dormant, will soon pop these bubbles.

          Because bubbles collapse, you must take your profits before they deflate. Bubbles produce feelings of false confidence, so most investors don’t. In April the Dow Industrials rose 19 out of 21 trading days. The last time that happened was in 1929.

          Some experts believe the party’s about to end. Recently, Bloomberg News reported Blue Planet’s Worldwide Financials fund, the world’s best performing investment trust for the past three years, just sold most of its stocks predicting a 20% (or greater) decline in global stock markets.

          Last year an investment advisory service cautioned “While there’s still money to be made, be sure to dance close to the door.” Sage advice, good times don’t last forever. It’s time to take your money off the table now. The good times are about to end.

          Darryl Robert Schoon
          www.surviviethecrisis.com
          “How To Survive The Crisis And Profit In The Process”

          _____________________

          Subprime America Infects Asia And Europe

          As the US real estate market collapses, questions about subprime mortgages and those unable to pay are in the news. These are not inconsequential questions. Over $1.5 trillion of subprime—don’t ask, don’t tell—mortgages were issued and are now beginning to default.

          As the defaults mount, the consequences will spread to countries and institutions far beyond the shores of the US and the desks of the originating lenders—for the majority of America’s subprime loans are owned by investors, banks, insurance companies, and pension funds in Europe and in Asia.

          Why Would Anybody Do Such A Thing?

          It retrospect, it wasn’t a good idea, to wit, to loan $1.5 trillion without asking applicants how much money they had or how much money they made. It seems improbable that bankers (remember those thin-lipped disapproving loan officers) would loan money under those conditions. But they did and this is why:

          One year after the collapse of the US stock market in 2000, the NASDAQ dropped 80% and the US government feared a deflationary depression—a no money no demand depression like the 1930s—could destroy the economy.

          So in 2001 the US government took quick and decisive action—in retrospect stupid and short-sighted—and flooded the US with money to prevent a depression from developing; but, in the process they created a real estate bubble and, as the bubble deflates, those who can’t pay their bills, aren’t.

          Banks aren’t in business to loan money to those who can’t repay them and they knew that customers who “took advantage” of subprime mortgages were at high risk of default. So the banks sold their subprime loans.

          Now, who would buy a “subprime”, e.g. substandard, loan? Who would buy a subprime steak, a subprime car, a subprime house, a subprime dating service? This is where the genius of Wall Street came into play.

          To sell these soon-to-explode debt bombs, Wall Street cleverly bundled them with higher rated AAA debt and gave them a new name, CDOs, collateralized debt obligations, and sold trillions of dollars of 30% subprime but AAA rated CDOs to unsuspecting buyers.

          Even if you don’t know what a CDO is, CDO sounds a lot better than subprime or substandard. That was the genius of Wall Street. It was a way for Wall Street to sell shaky debt before the fenders fell off. And it worked, at least for Wall Street.

          These debt bombs are now embedded far across the global financial landscape, the majority bought by European and Asian investors and institutions seeking downstream revenues; but instead of downstream revenues, they will be absorbing unexpected and significant losses.

          Fully 50% of the 2006 earning of HSBC, The Hong Kong Shanghai Banking Corporation, the world’s third largest bank, were wiped out by the subprime losses of its US subsidiary. AXA, a French insurance company and CommerzBank, a German Financial Services company were also major buyers of Wall Street’s subprime AAA rated debt and will suffer the consequences for so doing.

          But it was not only European and Asian banks, insurance companies, and hedge funds and pension funds that will suffer, wealthy Japanese investors may suffer the greatest losses of all. It is believed that the highest-yielding but riskiest tranches (risk level) of the subprime CDOs were bought by wealthy individual Japanese investors.

          The head of structured finance research at Nomura Securities, Mark Adelson, said these investors did not fully understand the risk they were taking, depending instead upon the ratings given by credit agencies such as Moody’s or the advice of those managing the security.

          "A partial understanding of it is often no better than no understanding," Adelson said. "The devil is in the details; if you understand it vaguely, you can get your lights punched out."

          Globalization has been a wealth builder, perhaps unequally so, but nonetheless wealth has been created. Soon, however, another darker side of globalization is about to manifest. Risk as well as money move quickly across global highways recently built and made possible by a one world financial marketplace, and that risk is now about to become apparent.

          Global currency flows move swiftly and quickly and turn on a dime. The Asian liquidity crisis of 1997 was a recent manifestation of this phenomena; the next crisis will be the US. The subprime losses suffered by the buying of America’s bad debts may be the final straw in the diversion of foreign moneys away from America.

          By selling foreign investors its bad debt, America has shot itself in the foot. Because America is now the world’s #1 debtor, because America needs over $1 trillion in foreign investment capital each year to pay its bills—and because it was foreign investors that were primarily burned by Wall Street’s subprime CDOs, the flow of foreign capital to the US may soon be going elsewhere.

          In April 2007, a Merrill Lynch survey showed 38% of global money managers believed the best prospects for corporate profits were now in the eurozone, 42% believed the worst prospects were in the US.

          Today, the word “de-couple” is increasingly heard where global markets are discussed. No longer referring to freight trains or dogs in delicto flagrante, de-coupling refers to the distancing, i.e. de-coupling, of global economies from the US, to wit, the increasingly perceived expeditious act or art of separating still-healthy economies from the slowing US economic engine.

          While it is true the US has been the driver of the global economy, it is no longer. The sobriquet “has been” is literally correct in this instance. The US share of global economic growth so far in 2007 is 10%, a figure analogous to Barry Bonds batting .134.

          Global capital flows, like tsunamis, are not something to be taken lightly. If the flow of foreign money to the US slows, the US dollar will collapse and the US will be forced to raise interest rates to continue attracting foreign capital. And, if US interest rates are raised, the US economy will collapse. Greenspan might call this a conundrum. Other people might call it and Greenspan something else. Inflation is not the only problem America faces.

          Whose feet?
          Whose fire?

          America apparently cares little what happens to the primarily foreign investors and institutions who bought its subprime loans. On April 24th, Bloomberg reported the head of the US Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Sheila Blair, testified before a congressional committee, ``We should hold the servicers' and the investors' feet to the fire on this…We did not have good market discipline with investors buying all these mortgages.''

          It is highly doubtful Ms. Blair will exhibit the same attitude should the flow of foreign moneys upon which Mr. and Ms. Average America depend go elsewhere. Thailand’s economy went into apoplectic shock and its currency and stock market fell by 50% in 1997 when international currency flows suddenly changed direction. America may soon be in for the same.

          And if America falters and falls, the consequences of such will be felt around the world. Today, afternoon tea and scotch flow freely in The City as does dim sum in Hong Kong and Shanghai and sushi in Tokyo around their respective bourses. Soon, however, the risks that have lain dormant beneath globalization’s foundation are about to erupt and a reordering of the world’s financial geography is about to ensue.

          It’s spring 2007 and the sun is shining in the US, backyard BBQs are being cleaned in anticipation of summer’s use. A severe financial crisis, however, is in the offing; a crisis as unexpected as the Golden State Warriors’ last minute streak to the NBA playoffs.

          An unexpected financial crisis, however, will be much more consequential than Don Nelson’s magical resurrection of the Warriors’ NBA hopes. There, at least, the Warriors will have a fighting chance.

          But because most people don’t know a financial crisis is coming, they will have little chance of survival. This summer, America’s subprime CDOs are coming home to roost, and not just to the US.

          Darryl Robert Schoon
          www.survivethecrisis.com
          “How To Survive The Crisis And Profit In The Process”

          _____________________


          The Right To Lie

          Congress shall make no law …abridging the freedom of speech
          First Amendment US Constitution

          The Right to Lie under the Bush doctrine is in actuality a right protected by the US Constitution under the right to free speech. Close and critical reading of the US Constitution’s First Amendment clearly shows that the right to free speech is not restricted to just the truth.

          Free speech, like all rights granted and guaranteed by the Constitution’s Bill of Rights is an unabridged right, e.g. unfettered, and as such extends equally to truth and falsehood alike.

          Thus the continual lying, i.e. “mispeaking”, of President George W. Bush, Vice-President Dick Cheney, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, US Attorney General Alberto Gonzales and Press Secretary Tony Snow is not only a long political tradition, it is at long last, a guaranteed Constitutional right extended to all Americans including the President and all the President’s men and women.

          The Right To Lie, according to the Bush doctrine, is an even more fundamental right than habeas corpus, granted under English common law during the reign of Henry II in the 12th Century; though more recently abridged by US Attorney General Alberto Gonzales regarding those held at Guantanamo Prison in Cuba, a nation known for state oppression and being therefore without the benefit of constitutional rights and law.

          In truth, the Right to Lie is part and parcel of a long overdue rebalancing of the American political landscape. American-style democracy is still in its infancy and much remains to be perfected.

          One of its longest standing and most egregious imbalances has been the inability of political leaders to claim de jure the Right to Lie, a right traditionally claimed and practiced by the common people de facto with absolutely no compunction whatsoever.

          This has led to a critical imbalance in the American political landscape. With Presidents unconstitutionally held to a higher standard than the people, there has developed a gap between the two, a gap that now threatens the foundation of liberty itself.

          The long overdue overhaul of democracy by conservative Republican think-tanks (sic a place where thinking tanks) extends the Right to Lie to the Presidency itself and therefore to all those who serve it, e.g. the Vice-President, the Department of Defense, the Department of Justice, the Department of Education, the Department of Homeland Security, the FDA, the EPA, the USDA etc.

          Now perhaps the American people will no longer have to be subjected to US government officials testifying under oath that they do not recall “this or that”. It is clear that the apparent inability to recall is merely a legal ruse to avoid future charges of perjury. What has been less clear is that it has been necessitated by the heretofore obstructed and fettered constitutionally protected Right to Lie.

          The American people will now be far better off for the truth to be once again made plain—that Presidents and all who serve them can and do lie. Let the honest truth, the truth and nothing but, ring free and clear!

          America, America
          My country ‘tis of thee
          How did this come to pass
          How did this come to be

          Darryl Robert Schoon
          www.surviviethecrisis.com
          “How To Survive The Crisis And Profit In The Process”

          _____________________


          Credit Interest Rates Heroin Death Politicians

          Mr. Average - girlfriend, job, car - tries heroin. The first time is free, gratis, compliments of Mr. Dealer. We’ve seen the movie in school classrooms. What happens next is always the same. Mr. Average goes into a drug-induced reverie, a dreamy smile, closed eyes, a peaceful look.

          But we all know what happens next. Mr. Average is hooked, his body ravaged, his girlfriend, job, car are long gone. The second time wasn’t free but Mr. Average felt so good he didn’t care. He only cared about feeling better. Even knowing what will happen is no deterrent because Mr. Average is addicted, his fate now a junkie’s downward spiral towards dissolution and death.

          This unfortunate story is the same with credit and interest rates. The introductory rates are always low, designed to hook users on its ease and benefits; at first the user is always happy, pleased at having purchased something needed or perhaps something more frivolous.

          But in the end, as in the movie, everything changes. The interest rates are higher, much higher, and the late fees, hidden in the in the fine print, are triggered with devastating regularity until the “user” falls farther and farther behind, driven into bankruptcy or even worse.

          But today, the protection of bankruptcy is no longer there, or at least not the way it was. In 2005 in the US Senate, 55 Republican joined by 14 Democrats passed a bankruptcy “reform” bill making it more difficult to declare bankruptcy (question: do you know how “your” congressman voted?).

          In April 2005, this “reform” bill was signed by President Bush, a man elected to lead America in times of trouble—trouble he now increasingly seems to have himself caused

          “I'm honored to join the members of Congress to sign the Bankruptcy Abuse Prevention and Consumer Protection Act. (Applause).
          President George Bush, Jr.

          Writer’s note: (Sarcastic Laughter) was probably the real response to the bill’s wonderfully misleading title.

          President Bush along with politicians in the halls of Congress (the cafeteria of lobbyists) have now delivered the American people into the waiting hands of the banking industry just as the economy is about to go south.

          As more and more Americans are unable to escape the increasingly onerous burden of debt, their ability to pay what they owe will increasingly diminish; and income taxes will be among those unpaid bills. What most Americans don’t know is what’s going to happen when they can’t pay them.

          “Congress, at President Bush’s urging, has given the IRS the ability to hire private debt collectors as part of the American Jobs Creation Act of 2004. The collectors will get to keep up to 25% of any tax debt they manage to reap.”
          Liz Pulliam Weston, MSN Money

          Real life endings, like Hollywood movies, are not always happy. The hero doesn’t always triumph and the boy doesn’t always get the girl (or these days, the boy). Real life is a series of unfolding events, usually caused by what happened previously; and Americans, not knowing what happened before, are going to be shocked by what happens next.

          America’s experiment with its debt-based money system is about to arrive at its logical conclusion. Instead of telemarketers calling from Bangalore offering more credit, debt collectors from Tucson etc. will be phoning to harass those unlucky souls who previously succumbed to “free” offers of credit and debt.

          Lately in America, denial has been the path of choice in dealing with bad news. No one likes to think about their growing inability to make ends meet as inflation drives prices higher, to pay bills increasingly with credit cards, that tomorrow may be a continuation of today and if things don’t get better where will that leave us?

          Denial won’t stop, however, what is to come. What it will stop is your ability to deal with it. America is going cold-turkey and soon. You can bet your credit cards on it. The US economy is about to collapse.

          Darryl Robert Schoon
          www.survivethecrisis.com
          “How To Survive The Crisis And Profit In The Process”

          _____________________


          Make Millions By Loaning Money That’s Not Even Yours That You Don’t Even Have—its all legal too

          You may think this is how loaning money works: You have $10,000. You loan it at 15 % and at the end of the year you get $1,500 in interest and your $10,000 back. Not bad. If you had put that money is a money market account you would receive at most 6 % interest or $600.

          But this is NOT the way the game works, not if you know how it is really played, not if you play by the rules that have already been established for others. Not if you become ONE OF THEM.

          THIS IS HOW THE GAME IS REALLY PLAYED:

          Let’s take that original $10,000. Let’s assume that it’s not even your money. Let’s assume it’s someone else’s $10,000. Of course, if it’s not yours, you’re going to have to pay something, say 6 %, $600, for the use of that money.

          But, with that $10,000 using completely legal rules and existing laws you can now loan up to $300,000

          Yes, you heard me. Under existing laws, if you have $10,000 (and the money doesn’t have to be yours), you can loan up to $300,000 as long as you keep the original $10,000 on hand. (3 % to 10 % of your outstanding loans must be kept)

          WOW!

          Now, the question you need to ask, the question you want to ask, the question you should be asking is:

          HOW MUCH MONEY CAN I MAKE LOANING MONEY THAT I DON”T HAVE AND IS NOT EVEN MINE?

          The answer: THE SKY’S THE LIMIT

          Yes, you heard me correctly. THE SKY’S THE LIMIT.

          Based on your original $10,000: If you loaned $300,000 at 20 %, you would receive $60,000 in interest (note: the average credit card rate in the US is 18.9%). Remember that money only cost you $600

          YOUR NET PROFIT IS $60,000 - $ 600 = $59,400 a 10,000% increase on net invested capital using some else’s money. And please don’t feel sorry for that person. They’re actually happy to get 6 % for their money BECAUSE THE US GOVERNMENT WILL GUARANTEE THEIR $10,000. Yes, you heard me. You pay the US government 7¢ per $100 and the US government guarantees anyone up to $100,000 (this program is called the FDIC)

          Let’s say instead you got $100,000. With $100,000, you could then loan $3,000,000 and receive $600,000 interest (at 20 %).

          Expenses: $6,000.00 interest for other peoples’ money
          $70.00 to FDIC to insure the $100,000
          Total expenses : $6,070.00

          Your net profit: $593,930.00 (using someone else’s $100,000)

          AND THERE’S LOTS MORE because there’s NO LIMIT to the interest or the amount of fees you can charge.

          WHY?

          Because the US deregulated the loan (banking) industry and bankers can now charge as much as they want, as often as they want to anyone anywhere and ITS ALL LEGAL.

          In 1978, the US Supreme Court deregulated interest rates on bank loans, i.e. no more usury laws, and allowed banks in states that allowed high interest rates (i.e. South Dakota) to issue cards at high rates in other states—even if other states outlawed higher rates.

          There You Have It.
          Make Millions By Loaning Money That’s Not Even Yours That You Don’t Even Have
          All You Have To Do Is Be A Bank
          Be A Banker Or A Bankrupt
          It’s Your Choice

          For instructions on how to start your own bank, go to:
          http://money.howstuffworks.com/bank5.htm
          (not legal in Canada)
          .
          Darryl Robert Schoon
          www.survivethecrisis.com
          “How To Survive The Crisis And Profit In The Process”

          _____________________

          Depression Not a Recession


          In April, Bloomberg News reported 60% of Americans are expecting a recession within the year. Unfortunately, they should be expecting much worse. A depression, not a recession, is more likely in the offing.

          In March 2000 when the dot.com bubble burst, it was the largest collapse of a stock market bubble in history. The collapse of a stock market bubble in 1929 had resulted in the Great Depression. When the 2000 dot.com bubble burst—an even larger bubble—the US government was afraid another depression would result.

          To prevent it, in 2001 the US government flooded the economy with money. The government lowered US interest rates to 1%, and normally tight-fisted bankers gave away over $1 trillion without even requiring proof of income.

          Real estate prices skyrocketed and the stock markets recovered. But, in so doing, the US had inadvertently created an even bigger bubble—a bubble that has now burst.

          The US Real Estate Bubble Is the Biggest Bubble In History

          This is what Americans should be worrying about. The collapse of a bubble even larger than the 1929 or 2000 stock market bubbles will have catastrophic consequences; sending the US and perhaps the entire world into another Great Depression. A deflationary depression, not inflation or a recession, is the real threat to the US economy.

          Americans will be lucky if a recession is all that happens. A recession would be a godsend, a momentary tightening of the belt; not the collapse of the entire US economy where real estate falls 60-80% and stocks fall even farther.

          During the Great Depression, the stock market lost 90% of its value. Twenty-four years after the crash, the US stock market was still down 75%. Deflationary collapses are long and protracted and it should not be expected that the coming depression would be otherwise—in fact, it will probably be even worse.

          The Collapse of the Real Estate Bubble Will Cause
          The US Economy To Deflate And The US Dollar To Drop

          Today, the world’s money markets are betting on a falling US dollar. In fact, US Vice-President Dick Cheney is betting on it too. In May 2006, Kiplinger Magazine reported that up to 25% of the Vice-President’s assets ($10-$25 million) are invested in a fund that profits when the US dollar falls.

          Americans have no idea the trouble they are in. Afraid of a recession, they don’t know a deflationary depression is the real danger. Told that China is manipulating its currency to the disadvantage of the US, Americans are unaware China has accumulated over $1 trillion in excess US dollars and stands to lose $250 billion to $500 billion when the US dollar falls.

          Up until recently, China and Japan have been recycling their excess US dollars by investing in US Treasuries. This recycling is the only reason the US economy is still afloat.

          Because the US, the world’s biggest debtor, borrows over $1 trillion a year, should China and Japan decide to invest their dollars elsewhere, the US economy would immediately sink, US interest rates would skyrocket and toaster ovens at WalMart would cost $78 instead of $39.

          In 2006, a global investment firm quietly advised its clients “while there is money still to be made, be sure to dance close to the door”. In April 2007, the party is still going on but it’s now about to end.

          On April 3, 2007, Bloomberg News reported that the world’s best performing investment trust, Blue Planet’s Worldwide Financials fund, sold most of its stock portfolio predicting that a sharp correction in global stock markets is about to occur.

          “It is time to get out of the market and I don't think it would be unreasonable to expect the market to fall by more than 20 per cent in a very short space of time.”
          Ken Murray, founder and chief executive of Blue Planet Investment Management

          But most Americans aren’t aware of this danger. Americans aren’t aware the party is winding down and about to end, that global investment bankers are eyeing the exits as they cash in their winnings. Most Americans are only worried that a recession might happen. If so, they will not survive the crisis.

          Darryl Robert Schoon
          www.survivethecrisis.com
          “How To Survive The Crisis And Profit In the Process”

          _____________________

          What’s Up With Gold?

          Most of our experience with gold has come through dental work. Now, suddenly, it seems to be otherwise. What’s up with gold?

          In 1950, the US was the world’s richest nation. It owned 75% of the world’s gold, the US dollar was the cornerstone of world trade and the dollar was fully backed by gold. Today, none of that is true.

          Now, most of America’s gold is gone, the US is the world’s largest debtor and the dollar is in danger of collapsing. Kiplinger Magazine reports up to 25% of VP Dick Cheney’s money is in a fund that goes up when the dollar falls.

          While Cheney is dead wrong on Iraq, he’s dead right about the dollar. The rising price of gold reflects the deteriorating state of the dollar and the troubled state of the US economy. The dollar is sinking, inflation is threatening and the price of gold is rising. That’s what’s up with gold.

          The US is headed into trouble and unless you heed the Boy Scouts motto - Be Prepared – you’re in trouble too.
          .
          Darryl Robert Schoon
          www.survivethecrisis.com
          “How To Survive The Crisis And Profit In The Process”
          _____________________

          Iraq – A Son’s Revenge
          Oedipus President

          "The Iraqi people are looking at America and are saying
          are we going to cut and run again? We're not going to cut
          and run if I'm in the Oval Office. We will do our job,"
          President George W. Bush Jr.

          Although George. W. Bush’s statement was meant to show America’s resolve to stay the course in Iraq, it also showed something else - an extraordinary insight into a son’s oedipal struggle to prove his father wrong.

          George Jr.’s statement, “are we going to cut and run again? We’re not going to cut and run if I’m in the Oval Office.” was a direct slap at his father, former President George Bush, Sr.; because, if George Jr. is to be believed, Bush Sr. cut and ran in Iraq when he was President one decade before.

          It was previously thought George Jr.’s invaded of Iraq, in part, to avenge a failed assassination attempt on his father by Saddam’s secret police. It now appears George Jr.'s motive may be far different and much less benign.

          It is said Bush Sr. favored George Jr.’s younger brother, Jeb, and hoped that Jeb, not George Jr., would follow in his political footsteps. If so, George Jr. has decided to make his father pay for his misplaced favoritism.

          Peter and Rochelle Schweizer wrote in their book, “The Bushes, Portrait of a Dynasty”, that in 1994 when Jeb lost the governor’s race in Florida and George Jr. won in Texas, George Jr. talked to his father on the phone and afterward complained: ''It sounds like Dad's only heard that Jeb lost. Not that I've won.'’

          But George Jr., a willful man, is not one to be so easily denied his father’s love. Not only did he become the son that would become, as his father, President of the United States, he decided also he would be a better President.

          Some believed George Sr. had made a fatal mistake by not removing Saddam from power when he had the chance. So, when George Jr. became President, he surrounded himself with the very men– Cheney, Rumsfeld, and Wolfowitz - who believed his father had erred.

          George Jr., as President, would not make the mistake his father made. Instead, like the son he is, he made the mistake his father consciously chose not to make. George Jr. instead unleashed the ungodly forces of Muslim fundamentalism that his father’s advisors adamantly counseled George Sr. to keep contained by not removing Saddam from power.

          It now appears George Sr. and his advisors may have been right and Cheney, Rumsfeld, and Wolfowitz wrong when George Sr. chose to let Saddam stay in power. This is not to say that George Sr. did not make any mistakes. In retrospect, I think we all wish George Sr. had hugged George Jr. a lot more when he was a child.

          Darryl Robert Schoon
          www.survivethecrisis.com
          “How To Survive The Crisis And Pro

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