The Next Crash - Part I: How the First Bounce of the Debt Deflation Bear Market Ends

[Ben]

Re: The Next Crash - Part I: How the First Bounce of the Debt Deflation Bear Market Ends

Osw3

[Anon21456]

Re: The Next Crash - Part I: How the First Bounce of the Debt Deflation Bear Market Ends

stocks down 9% since 'next crash' posted...

'I’m not ready to say “Time to short” it yet, but the fix is in.'

used my secret squirrel decoder ring to read into the cryptic message 'the fix is in.'

yeh, yeh... hard to tell what he meant by that. :cool:

my genius interpretation?

'the fix is in'.

Hi Metal Man !

The golden cross is almost there. Wait for it. EJ will make his call around that time. Then wait for a retracement and short the whole market Then start laughing as people are panicking.

[metalman]

Re: The Next Crash - Part I: How the First Bounce of the Debt Deflation Bear Market ends - Eric Jans

'The First Bounce of the Debt Deflation Bear Market has gone on for four months longer than we expected. Will it end with a down-for-the-count crash or a correction followed by quick recovery? What will end it? Rate hikes by the Fed? The escalating sovereign debt crisis in Europe? A banking and financial crisis in China’s credit bubble economy? The next Peak Cheap Oil recession? Our answer: All of them, and pretty much all at once. If you thought the 2008 crash was bad, wait until you see the next one.'

[charliebrown]

Re: The Next Crash - Part I: How the First Bounce of the Debt Deflation Bear Market ends - Eric Jans

OK does anyone care to speculate on is this the one where we are not getting up?

2009 crash saw a terminal shiller PE of around 13. The 80's resession had a terminal PE of 8. That would mean S&P 500?
or is this going to be a mini crash before the big one, say shiller pe back to 14 (820) and the reflation again. I assume because this crash is about the sovereigns we will probe below 14.