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Eric Sprott retreats from gold

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  • Eric Sprott retreats from gold

    Interesting ...

    http://www.theglobeandmail.com/globe...rticle2132411/


    The Sprott Foundation, named after Eric Sprott, announced that it is selling two million units of its Sprott Physical Gold Trust (PHY.U-T15.66-0.04-0.25%), worth about $30-million at Wednesday's price.

    In its announcement, Sprott said that the proceeds would be reinvested in the silver sector, which isn’t surprising because Mr. Sprott has been touting the silver (SI-FT40.140.320.81%) story of late. But there’s something to be said about what the sale means for gold (GC-FT1,789.004.000.22%). In a recent interview with the GoldMoney Foundation, Mr. Sprott said that “gold was the investment of the last decade,” adding “I think silver is going to to be the investment of this decade.”

    Given that view, why wait until now to sell the gold units? Just look at the market price for the Physical Gold Trust. Since July 1, it’s shot up 22 per cent. By selling, Mr. Sprott appears to be taking some money off the table to take advantage of such a drastic spike -- though he does still personally own six million trust units.

    Although the foundation announced that it would reinvest its money in the silver sector, it is interesting that it did not specifically say where it would invest, either in Sprott Physical Silver Trust (PHS.U-T18.65----%), or the metal itself. But if you look at Sprott’s recent selling activity, it’s clear that money will go into the metal. In the past month or so, Sprott has sold about $23-million of the Silver Trust units. That comes on the heels of sales this spring worth about $34-million of the trust’s units.

    The sales have been pointed out by blogger ‘kid dynamite.’ While he acknowledges that Sprott is reinvesting the money back into silver, he points out that the Silver Physical Trust currently trades at about a 20 per cent premium to the net asset value. By exiting, Sprott captures that premium and then buys the metal at fair value.

    Buying the metal ties back to Mr. Sprott’s recent comments about being bullish on silver. In the GoldMoney interview, he pointed out that the physical amount of gold above ground is about 100 times greater than silver, yet people are buying the two metals on a 1-to-1 basis. That means the price of silver has to go up, he argues.

    Plus, gold is trading at about 45 times the price of silver. Historically, the ratio has been about 16 times and Mr. Sprott thinks we will get back in line with that number.

    But he isn’t sure of the timing. “When it actually happens, I don’t know,” he said in the interview.


  • #2
    Re: Eric Sprott retreats from gold

    Here is Eric Sprott's 2nd qtr Sprott Canadian Equity Fund - Market Comment - June 30, 2011

    http://www.sprott.com/Docs/Market_Co...EF-Q2-2011.pdf

    Gold bullion and gold equities constituted approximately 41% of the Fund at the end of June. Gold is continually being recognized, accepted and hoarded as a defense against inflation and currency debasement. This holds especially true in Europe where the fragility of various banking systems is creating a currency exodus. We continued to increase our gold equity position as valuations were exceptionally compelling. We identified the chief reason that gold stocks, especially larger cap issues, trailed the performance of gold bullion was that analysts have used spot prices 2 years out that are significantly lower than today’s levels. Should gold, as we believe it will, continue its long-term upwards trend and analysts adjust their model accordingly, the share price performance in many gold stocks is potentially staggering.


    and from the 2nd qtr Sprott Hedge Fund Strategy - Market Comment - June 30 2011

    http://www.sprott.com/Docs/Market_Co...FS-Q2-2011.pdf

    Mirroring our thesis for gold ownership is our approximate 65% gross short position which remains focused on liquid, economically sensitive stocks diversified across financial services, merchandizing, home builders and consumer product sectors.

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